Market Reports

The Auto Parts Industry in India

India is today known for being a reliable producer of high-value precision instruments for almost all major global automotive companies. India has strongly emerged as one of the most preferred destinations for manufacturing high quality auto components.

india auto parts The growth of global original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) sourcing from India and the increased indigenisation of global OEMs is turning the country into a preferred designing and manufacturing base. Factors like a stable government framework, increased purchasing power, large domestic market, presence of a large base of skilled and semi-skilled manpower and an ever-increasing development in infrastructure only add to India’s attractiveness as a global hub for manufacturing.

While many major global OEMs have made India a component sourcing hub for their global operations, several global Tier-I suppliers have also announced plans to increase procurement from their Indian subsidiaries. India is also emerging as a sourcing hub for engine components, with OEMs increasingly setting up engine manufacturing units in the country.

Indian auto-components industry is set to become the third largest by 2025.
India offers a stable government framework, increased purchasing power and a large domestic market.
India offers a large pool of skilled and semi-skilled workforce.
Automobile and auto component industry are a key component of the flagship 'Make in India' programme.
The auto component sector is a key component of the flagship 'Make in India' programme from the Government of India.

The Indian auto component industry is expected to grow by 7-8% in FY 2018-19, due to higher localisation by OEMs, higher component content per vehicle, and rising exports from India. In fact, the industry is expected to register a turnover of US$ 100 billion by 2020.

Indian Auto Parts Industry

According to reports, the Indian automotive industry is expected to be among the top three in the world in the area of engineering, manufacturing export of vehicles and components by 2026. The industry aims to achieve five times growth with a turnover of US$ 200 billion, exports targets between US$ 70-80 billion and an investment of US$ 30-40 billion by 2026.

The aftermarket segment is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.5 per cent, and reach US$ 13 billion by 2019-20, from US$ 8.4 billion in 2016-17. As the manufacturing competencies available in the country are being utlised for developing components for the global market, the domestic market is going equally strong. The autocomponents industry accounts for almost seven per cent of India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and employs as many as 19 million people, both directly and indirectly. Increased investments in R&D operations and laboratories, which are being set up to conduct activities such as analysis, simulation and engineering animations, are expected to further boost India’s position as a global supplier. – IBEF

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Market Reports

Nigeria Auto Market Could Be the Biggest in Africa by 2050

Nigeria can become a leading automotive hub in Africa by 2050 with an increase in local production and an expansion in new car markets. Currently, the Nigeria auto market has been saturated by imported used cars (Tokunbos) which were popular among the middle class due to flexible pricing compared to imported new cars but the expected spike in local production suggests that the importation of used cars will be curtailed by 2034. Nigeria’s annual new car market currently stands at over 50,000 but with projected growth, it can rise to as much 7.6 million in 2050. Nigerians are expected to import as many as 335,000 used cars in 2017, also known locally as ‘Tokunbos’, as well as 90,000 new cars. But just about 35,000 cars will be assembled locally. This means that locally assembled cars account for roughly 15% of total car sales in Nigeria. However, this number could rise to 70% by 2050. In recent years, papid GDP growth in Nigeria will visibly impact Nigeria's auto market. But GDP growth was not the sole condition necessary for the automobile industry to boom. With 63% of Nigerians unable to afford a car without some form of financial support, facilitating access to vehicle financing loans is also important. Last year, less than a third of all new cars sold in Nigeria, were sold to retail customers. One of the biggest barriers for the Nigeria auto market is lack of credit. Most of the economies do not sell cars through a cash basis but they buy through borrowing, this needs to be addressed in Nigeria. Similarly, the challenge with porous borders which allow car smuggling must be addressed to ensure that local production is protected. Tightening borders and regulating importation of cheap used cars will help Nigeria conserve foreign exchange as its annual car imports value – half of which is believed to be smuggled – stands at approximately $3.3 billion. One of the key reasons for the progress in the growth of the local automotive industry is the National Automotive Industry Development Plan, an automotive policy announced by the government of Nigeria. The policy has already attracted interest and investment to Nigeria’s auto market as 30 car brands have obtained licenses to start assembly of cars in Nigeria but its implementation must remain enforced to allow for consistent growth. The government has already awarded licences for 14 new vehicle assembly plants. Names included Toyota, Honda, General Appliances West Africa and Nigeria-China Manufacturing Company. Nigeria Auto Market: Africa's Largest Nigeria’s auto market remains the largest in Africa, and the buying power of her middle class is increasing exponentially thus, presenting a huge opportunity in terms of consumption of auto products. This is despite infrastructure challenges, the President/CEO Sub Saharan African Region, Ford Motor Company, Jeff Nemeth has said. The company plans to launch at least 30 new vehicles by 2020 in Middle East & Africa with the ambition to corner 50 per cent of the Nigeria auto market. The company’s Semi-knocked Down (SKD) vehicle assembly line in Nigeria with strategic partnership with local Ford dealer group Coscharis Motors Limited is located in Ikeja, Lagos. The Lagos assembly line accommodates one shift and produces an 10 units per day, while a gradually expansion is being planned over time. Mitsubishi is also eyeing Nigeria auto market and is in early stages of its planning and negotiations with Nigerian stakeholders. The arrival of Chinese brands, and the pace at which Nigeria’s automotive hub is developing, is attracting other car manufacturers to Nigeria. Toyota has invested R6.1 billion in their Durban plant, BMW is set to invest R6 billion in their Rosslyn plant, VW has earmarked 4.5 billion investment for their Uitenhage plant and Ford R2.5 billion in their Rosslyn plant, with Mercedes Benz investing R3 billion in their East London plant in 2013/14. On the other hand, the trucking business in Nigeria has been expanding recently. As the rail system in Nigeria has collapsed, trucking has become increasingly important and lucrative, especially given the country’s favourable demographics in terms of population (which is over 168 million) and growth rate (which is currently around 6.8%). The growth of some industries, including in the petroleum and agriculture sectors and which are based on transport, has also raised demand for trucks. Trucking is an important component of the movement of goods to and from cities like Port Harcourt, Lagos, Abuja, Kaduna and Kano. Africa Automotive Directory The African Automotive Directory compiled by Africa Business Pages has emerged as a helpful resource for those looking for buyers of automotive spare parts in Africa. The Africa Automotive Directory lists all major auto parts importers in 49 African countries and is available for immediate download in Excel format. This special directory is updated every six months is available for sale at the Africa Business Pages B2B portal at a nominal cost of US$350. The Africa Automotive Directory has helped many exporters, manufacturers and dealers of automotive spare parts connect with their business counterparts in the African markets and develop direct business relations and expand their sales and distribution network in key African markets.

Market Reports

So Many People, So Little Land

As drought and famine threaten millions of lives in the horn of Africa, global food security — or rather insecurity — is at the forefront of development discourse. What’s more, Harvard University demographers forecast last week that before the end of the year, the world’s population will reach 7 billion. In light of these daunting statistics and what the United Nations is calling “the worst humanitarian disaster in the world,” one cannot help but wonder: how will the planet continue to feed itself? To find an answer, international aid agencies are searching for the roots of famine. Some problems contribute more directly to food shortages than others — in the case of East Africa, climate change is severely restricting crop yields and driving up prices. Studies show that crop-killing droughts in Somalia have become more frequent and long-lasting over the past fifty years. From 1950 to 1970, they came roughly once every seven years. Since 2000, Somalia has suffered three major droughts. But as the world grapples with and tries to learn from the East African famine, experts are arguing that food shortages and high prices in the developing world are also attributable to a lower-profile issue: irresponsible land use. For instance, in recent years the Ethiopian and Kenyan governments have evicted local farmers to sell their land to agribusinesses from China and India. While these sales generate governmental revenue, the agribusinesses generally produce solely for foreign markets and leave local food markets strained. A report by the International Food Policy Research Institute announced that between 15 and 20 million hectares of farmland in Sub-Saharan Africa were sold to foreign interests between 2006 and 2009. Another hot-button land issue in the developing world stems from the expansion of the global biofuels industry. In another type of land deal, governments are leasing available farmland to biofuel plants, forgoing traditional agricultural production and driving up food prices both locally and globally. During the international food crisis of 2008, for example, the IMF estimated that increased biofuel demand accounted for 70 percent of global corn price increases and 40 percent of soybean price increases. So while land deals provide income for developing nations, unless that income is re-invested in infrastructural or agricultural development (which it often isn’t), they may leave populations vulnerable to famine during emergencies like the East African drought. To combat short-term thinking and its adverse effects, we have to demonstrate the benefits of long-term investment in responsible land use. CI is making the case for sustainability as a top priority in field program countries through participatory land use planning, a process which encourages local input in determining the best use of land from both conservation and economic perspectives. To put the food security issue in perspective, Harvard’s research predicted that 97 percent of the projected population increase of 2.3 billion over the next half-century will occur in underdeveloped nations. The population may be surging, but we have a fixed amount of land to work with. Managing it with a short-term mindset only creates problems down the road. We have a lot of work to do — 2050 is just two generations away.

Market Reports

Sales of new cars in South Africa on decline

Sales of new cars in South Africa has been on the decline due to low business confidence and the expected increase in taxes in this years' budget that is likely to further erode real purchasing power. The latest data from the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa (NAAMSA) shows that the decline in new vehicle sales has continued since December 2016. A total of 41,639 vehicles were sold in December 2016, a year-on-year decline of 15.3%. New vehicle sales for the year are down 11.4%, ending the year on 547 442 units; the lowest levels seen since 2010. Will 2017 see the local auto industry recover? Will car prices drop or rise? What about vehicle exports? Naamsa answers these questions and more below: What are 2018 vehicle sales expectations? "2018 is expected to be another difficult year for the domestic SA auto industry, however, a modest improvement in new vehicle sales is expected during the second half of the year," reports the Naamsa. Industry production levels, on the back of expected further growth in vehicle exports, should however remain in an upward phase. Naamsa says its 2018 projections for South Africa reflect an expected improvement in GDP growth to around 1.5% (from 0.4% in 2017). Local political tensions are likely to reduce business confidence and the expected increase in taxes in this years' budget will erode real purchasing power. Internationally, volatile and uncertain conditions are likely to prevail during 2018. SA car exports to remain strong Despite these considerations, the global economic outlook at this stage, remains positive and should continue to lend support to South Africa's improving vehicle export performance. Ultimately, industry vehicle exports would remain a function of the performance and direction of global markets. Naamsa said: "Vehicle exports to Europe, Australasia, the United States, Asia and South America were expected to show further upward momentum." Local car sales to 'remain flat' The general expectation in the industry is that domestic new vehicle sales will remain fairly flat going into 2017. Naamsa remains hopeful, however, that on the back of the expected improvement in key economic indicators, domestic sales would regain some traction in the second half of 2017 with year over year growth perhaps settling in the 2.5% to 3.5% range and hold to around that level going forward. Factoring in the expected improvement in exports, domestic production of motor vehicles in South Africa was expected to show an increase from 604,000 vehicles produced in 2016 to close on 641,000 vehicles in 2017– an improvement in vehicle production of about 6.0% This figure could prove conservative if vehicle exports expand more than currently anticipated. The projected higher vehicle production was consistent with the official vision for the Industry which is to remain a premier supplier of high quality, competitive automotive original equipment parts and accessories and vehicles to international markets and, in the process, to achieve an annual domestic vehicle production figure of close to 850,000 vehicles by 2020. New models, self-driving cars Internationally and domestically, vehicle manufacturers would continue to focus on new models and products through sustained investment and new technologies. Technologies such as artificial intelligence could begin to reflect a tangible impact across sectors. Autonomous vehicles and driver assisted automatic systems as well as increased use of information technology in vehicles were likely to feature in the future. South Africa’s new vehicle industry grew 2.1% in March 2017, with total sales of 48 534 vehicles according to the latest data from the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa (Naamsa). This follows a minor decline of 0.1% in February and growth of 3.7% in January. New vehicle sales, year-to-date, are up 1.9%. Match 2017: Spending money confidently In March 2017, out of the total reported industry sales of 48,534 vehicles, an estimated 42,772 units or 88.1% represented dealer sales, 6.7% represented sales to the vehicle rental Industry, 3.0% government and 2.2% industry corporate fleets. Domestic sales of industry new light commercial vehicles (LCVs), bakkies and mini buses at 14,882 units during March 2017 reflected a marginal improvement of 169 units or a gain of 1.1% compared to the 14 713 light commercial vehicles sold during the corresponding month last year. Rudolf Mahoney, head of brand and communications at WesBank, said: “March’s sales performance is indicative of the positive sentiment in the economy during the past month. There were a few contributing factors, including a strong Rand and falling fuel prices. "Consumers had many reasons to feel confident enough to spend money, and this is immediately evident in the new vehicle sales.” This sales performance and consumer confidence is reflected in the demand for vehicle finance. WesBank says its internal data shows growth of 8% for new vehicle finance, compared to March 2016. This past month also saw the average new vehicle price reach an all-time high, representing an 8% increase year-on-year. The strong demand for new vehicles was not at the expense of used vehicle sales, where application volumes were 13.4% higher than the same time last year. Consumers shopping in the used market during March were also spending 8.6% more on average, than last year. Mahoney concludes: “However, this positivity is going to be short-lived. The current political climate has introduced massive uncertainty in all South African markets. Both business and consumer confidence have been shaken, and this will filter through to the ratings agencies as well. The Rand’s sharp decline has already wiped out the benefit of lower fuel prices, and if it continues to deteriorate, new vehicle prices will follow suit.”

Market Reports

The Market for Auto Parts in Ghana

The market for auto parts in Ghana presents numerous opportunities. First and foremost, Ghana’s manufacturing industry has always been receiving good support from the local government. The encouragement and support of the Ghana government has enabled the country to emerge as one of the 40 fastest growing industrial production regions in the world. Ghana's impressive manufacturing industry currently accounts for a quarter of the country's GDP and is expected to account for more than 30% of the GDP by 2021. And the main driver for Ghana's booming manufacturing industry is the automobile industry. The automotive market in Ghana is diverse. It ranges from Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and component manufacturers, to dealerships and commercial vehicle manufacturers. Financial pressures, industry restructuring, changing consumer preferences, regulating issues, fluctuating fuel prices and the growing demand for more environmentally friendly vehicles are constantly transforming West Africa's automotive industry. The Ghanian automotive industry continues to adjust to market forces. The manufacturing level is being impacted by the increasing number of imported vehicles and the after affects of the global economic crisis, especially the uncertainty with regards to the European markets and the impact on local manufacturing. To survive and grow, automotive companies in Ghana must continuously develop and maintain customer relationships, achieve technical excellence and retain skilled labour pools, and manage significant risks. The automobile sector of Ghana has been a driver of growth of the country as it is one of the most visible sectors to receive foreign investment. Ghana is a multicultural and ethnically diverse West African nation and is the 9th largest African economy. On the Ibrahim Index of African Governance, Ghana ranks as the 7th best economy in Africa, which implies a relative safety of foreign investment in the region. Also, Ghana ranks relatively high in the ease of doing business index and also has an extremely high freedom of press rating, which makes it a good emerging market to invest in. Some of the popular car brands in the West Africa region are Toyota, Mercedes Benz, Mitsubishi, KIA, Nissan, Hyundai Volkswagen, Renault among others. AFRICAN AUTO PARTS INDUSTRY The African auto parts market for passenger vehicles is emerging as one of the most important re-export markets, growing more than 11 per cent year-on-year, and estimated to be worth US$14.68 billion in 2017 and based on the double-digit growth of demand in key Sub-Saharan countries, the value of the Africa’s auto parts market is likely to double by 2022. Countries such as Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, Ghana, have witnessed double digit growth in demand of parts in the past five years. Focusing on the tremendous opportunities of doing business in the fast-emerging African market, there are currently more than 21.6 million cars on the continent’s roads which make up for nearly 70 per cent of spare parts consumption. There are five modes of automobile service business in Ghana, these are : New car dealers Independent garages/shops Specialty garages /shops Service stations or garages Fleet garages /shop However, the region still has its challenges. The African market is unstructured and the share of non-genuine parts is the biggest challenge to the automotive aftermarket in this region. Political issues, credit policies, and business sustainability related issues also impact the market, but these are mostly limited to Central Africa. Despite this the future outlook remained bright for those exporting to Africa, with the best opportunities existing in Kenya, Angola, Uganda, Nigeria and Ghana. Used engines are in great demand in many African countries which have a big market for re-conditioned automobiles. Most of the African buyers have substantial requirements for quantities of automotive batteries, tyres, spare parts, ball bearings, water pumps and a host of electronic goods. People prefer buying used spare parts because they are genuine and are often in good condition. Every spare parts outlet may not provide the full range of used parts of all car models but together the market is capable of providing nearly 90 per cent of such parts. The diversified range of used mechanical and body parts of cars and engines has brought this business parallel to genuine and non-genuine new spare parts businesses as it offers big variety at affordable prices. There has been an increasing demand for automobile spares, ball bearings and lubricants in the fast developing markets of Africa. The rapid growth of the middle class in many African countries has pushed demand for automobiles to an all-time high – in turn creating a growing market for all kinds of tyres: passenger car tyres, off-the-road tyres, industrial tyres, agricultural tyres, truck, bus and trailer tyres as well as motorcycle and bicycle tyres. The rising demand for tyres in Africa has led to stiff competition between tyre manufacturers from all across the world seeking to garner a major share of the market for tyres in the new and emerging African markets. Traditionally, European tyre manufactures had had a monopoly over the African markets and many European brands were top selling tyres in many African countries. However, in recent times, European tyre firms are beginning to lose ground to Chinese and other Asian brands in several African markets. The African countries are price-sensitive markets and prefer to import low-priced Chinese tyres rather than the expensive European and American brands. There is an equally strong market for sale and importation of used tyres in this region. Apart from Dunlop International the other three significant players in the African market for tyres are Continental, Bridgestone and Goodyear. Some of the major exporters of auto spare parts to Africa from Dubai include: Al Muqarram Auto Spare Parts Bagader Trading Est. BBG Trading VRB Trades FZE Zafco Trading Zeetex SPARE PARTS MARKET IN GHANA Currently most of the consumers in the automobile segment belong to the affluent class hence the automobile industry in Ghana presents massive opportunities for the future as the burgeoning middle class is largely untapped in the country. One of the major problems with Ghana that has been impeding the growth of the automobile sector is the lack of financial inclusion in the country. Most people do not have access to financial loans and other options like lease that make owning an automobile easy. The Africa Automotive Directory is a useful resource for those seeking importers of automotive spare parts in the African markets. Available for download in Excel format. While the global automotive industry is fiercely competitive, there are other factors that limit or even distort trade. For decades, various governments around the world have used trade distorting policies to support the creation and expansion of domestic automotive industries that were not otherwise economically feasible. This has been accomplished through combinations of subsidies, tariffs and non-tariff barriers. The market for automobile spare parts, in particular, has been an attractive sector for enterprises supplying these goods to many countries in Africa. The rapid industrialisation currently sweeping across many African countries has resulted in an increased demand for capital goods such as machinery, lubricants, spare parts, ball bearings and other mechanical accessories. The automobile sector of Ghana has been a driver of growth of the country as it is one of the most visible sectors to receive foreign investment. Indian automobiles major Mahindra and Mahindra, has invested heavily in the country and has made it as a regional hub for the manufacture of its Sports Utility Vehicles. Ghana’s first Ghanaian carmaker Kantanka Automobile Company says after years of vigorous research and tests it was now determined to release into the global market strong, robust, durable and reliable cars. The manufacturing base in Accra can currently produce around 100 cars a month. On the Ibrahim Index of African Governance, Ghana ranks as the 7th best economy in Africa, which implies a relative safety of foreign investment in the region. Also, Ghana ranks relatively high in the ease of doing business index and also has an extremely high freedom of press rating, which makes it a good emerging market to invest in. Moving forward, automotive companies must look for new ways to address existing challenges, mitigate risks, and seize future opportunities, amidst increasingly aggressive competition and pricing pressures. While some may be tempted to focus on short-term success to the detriment of long-term profitability, a holistic approach can help automotive companies take a big-picture view to explore the appropriate paths forward. Africa Automotive Directory The African Automotive Directory compiled by Africa Business Pages has emerged as a helpful resource for those looking for buyers of automotive spare parts in Africa. The Africa Automotive Directory lists all major auto parts importers in 49 African countries and is available for immediate download in Excel format. This special directory is updated every six months is available for sale at the Africa Business Pages B2B portal at a nominal cost of US$350. The Africa Automotive Directory has helped many exporters, manufacturers and dealers of automotive spare parts connect with their business counterparts in the African markets and develop direct business relations and expand their sales and distribution network in key African markets.

Market Reports

Nigeria's Tyre Market

Globally, the leading tyre manufacturers today include Bridgestone, Michelin, Goodyear, Continental, Pirelli and Sumitomo (for Dunlop brand). World production of tyre is estimated to be 860 million units annually. Within Africa, significant tyre factories exist in Egypt, South Africa and Zimbabwe. Nigeria tyre market is now emerging as a leading importer of tyres in West Africa. The Nigerian tyre industry took off shortly after independence in 1960 with both Dunlop Nigeria Plc and Michelin Nigeria Limited establishing their respective manufacturing outfits. By the Year 2005, the combined annual local capacity was 2.25m units, representing 75% of Nigerian tyre market at that time. These two companies were the only tyre manufacturing outfits in Nigeria, and indeed the West Africa region. Africa accounts for less than 1% of the global tyre production, while Nigeria then produced only about 0.2% when its factories were fully operational before the owners of the two tyre factories (Dunlop Nigeria Plc and Michelin Nigeria Ltd) shut them at the end of 2008 and 2006 respectively, due to the harsh operating environment (infrastructural deficiency, tariff structure, etc). THE NIGERIAN TYRE MARKET In the last forty years and starting during the oil boom years, the increased number of cars in Nigeria over saturated Nigerian roads. The demand for tyres kept growing over the years and the tyre market, like many other markets in the country at that time, was a seller’s market. This growth continued until the economy started to decline in the last twenty years as a result of the world’s energy crisis, coupled with our own internal problems. Over the last 20 years or so, it had become difficult to buy new cars and most people had to resort to second hand (Tokunbo) cars. The market reacted by importing an increasing number of second hand cars into the country from different parts of the world, which became more affordable and influenced the car tyre market in several ways. In the Nigeria tyre market, there are both premium and budget (cheaper tyres), but the ever declining purchasing power of the consumers continued to make the budget tyres more attractive. Budget tyres (which account for about 80% of the Nigerian total tyre market) are imported mainly from Asian countries. These are usually low quality, low priced tyres, allowed into the country so long as they meet the standards set by Government agencies. Standards Organisation of Nigeria is expected to inspect these tyres on arrival. The global tyre market is estimated to be $190 billion while the tyre market in Nigeria is about $1.0 billion. The total Nigerian tyre market size is estimated to be 5.7 million units (car, van & light truck – 3.9m and truck – 1.8m) with a projected growth rate of 3-5% annually). There are about 150 brands of tyres in the Nigerian market with five dominant players namely: Dunlop, Michelin, Bridgestone, Pirelli and Firestone. By 2008, all the imported brands accounted for about 90% share of the market as against only 25% in 2005. Today, all the tyres in the Nigerian market are imported following the cessation of local tyre manufacturing. DOWNLFALL OF THE TYRE INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA Dunlop was incorporated on October 21, 1961, beginning with tyre imports and started production in 1963. The raw materials for tyre manufacturing are natural and synthetic rubber, carbon black, wires, zinc oxide and other chemicals. All the raw materials are imported except zinc oxide, mineral oil and natural rubber. Warri Petrochemicals produced 2 out of 6 grades of carbon black used by the tyre industry locally. Dunlop Nigeria Plc, when the import duty tariff on both car & truck was 40%, started importing Heavy Truck Radial (HTR) in 2000. The company subsequently embarked on the local production of Heavy Truck Radial, which was part funded by National Automotive Council (NAC) through its NAC- Automotive Development Fund. The HTR factory was commissioned by in 2005. Barely 4 four months after, there was a reduction in HTR tariff to 10% from 40%. In December 2006, Michelin Nigeria Limited shut its factory due to the harsh operating environment (infrastructural deficiency, tariff structure, etc), disposed its equipment and left, after 43 years of operations in Nigeria. Dunlop Nigeria Plc continued despite the fact that the problems that made Michelin to relocate out of Nigeria also affected it but remained with the hope that those problems would be addressed. Unfortunately, these problems made it difficult for Dunlop to dispose its tyres (both truck and car) at reasonable margins because it had to compete with imports at 10% duty rate and the attendant infrastructural disadvantage which increased its production cost by about 40%. Both companies (Dunlop and Michelin), before and after 2006, had on several occasions drawn the attention of the government at all levels to these problems. Regrettably, not much response was received from the relevant authorities, and because it could not continue to erode its shareholders funds, Michelin was forced to stop production at its factory by December 2006 while Dunlop followed the same path in December, 2008. They have both since joined the league of those importing tyres into Nigeria. The closure of the two tyre factories in the country have resulted in loss of over 3,000 direct and several thousands of indirect jobs, closure of many smaller feeder cottage industries that serviced the factories, non payment of taxes etc. REVIVING THE TYRE INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA The Nigeria tyre market is generally placed under “strategic industrial sector “in any nation. In Nigeria, during the Civil war 1967-1970, because of the location of Michelin factory in Port Harcourt, it could not function, and as a result virtually all the tyre requirements of the Nigerian Armed forces were supplied completely and exclusively by Dunlop Nigeria Plc. Most of the tyres used by the peace keeping forces in Africa were equally supplied by Dunlop Nigeria. The mass transportation sector in Nigeria is currently facing major challenges. The rail and water mode of transportation are not fully developed and this leaves road mode of movement as the most viable, significantly strategic and most preferred, and by extension, tyre becomes the singular most important component in the road mode of transportation. The national tyre demand annually is very large, enough to accommodate at least five different tyre factories with capacity of 20 million kg or 1m car/van tyres each. Thus, the combined capacity of over 100m kg will just be about enough to optimise the market in Nigeria. This excludes the rest of West Africa which is about another 50% of Nigeria tyre market. These tyre factories have potential of creating over 10,000 direct jobs, and several thousands of indirect job openings. Creation of smaller feeder cottage industries, payment of taxes, better security situation and positive impact on the national economy are all the positive implications of a functional Nigeria tyre market. The natural rubber, carbon black and other petro chemicals available in Nigeria will also be value addition processes. The subsidiary Company of Dunlop, Pamol Nig. Ltd., has 15,000 hectares of land across Cross River, Delta and Edo states and employs not less than 10,000 persons directly and indirectly in its rubber plantation business. Michelin, on the other hand, has bigger rubber plantations in Ogun and Edo states but while Dunlop used its raw rubber in the local production of tyres up to December 2008, Michelin exported its raw rubber out of the Country and then imports their finished tyres back in to the country, since January, 2007. Considering the strategic need for the tyre industry and its attendant benefits, it is imperative to revive the industry without further delay. The new auto policy introduced by the government recently is a positive step in this direction. To make the implementation of the policy more effective, there is need for a monitoring body consisting of SON, Customs and tyre manufacturers’ representatives to regulate tyre importation into the country. The ongoing reforms and efforts in the power sector are commendable and should continue. This will address quite a number of manufacturing challenges facing the tyre industry in the country. DEMAND IN NIGERIA TYRE MARKET The Nigeria tyre market is very strategic for the nation and should be revived. The import-friendly policies that are crafted ostensibly out of not envisaging the full implications on the Nigerian economy should be discouraged. The recent auto policy announced by the Nigerian government is a positive step in this direction. The current situation where tyres that can be manufactured locally are imported will only help to fuel job creation in other countries while unemployment in Nigeria country continues to rise, with all the security implications. The Nigeria tyre market can play a crucial role in job creation too. Recent policy articulations and implementations by our government in respect of power, cement, rice, sugar, etc gives a lot of room for optimism that the new National Automotive Policy would also be faithfully implemented. Specifically, the policy as it affects encouraging local tyre manufacture includes pioneer status which gives 7-year tax holiday, zero duty on imported tyre manufacturing equipment, 5% import duty on raw materials and on tyre imports to augment local production in the first two years, while ramping up capacity. Nigerian government’s more critical understanding of the implications of the ECOWAS/EU Partnership Agreement also signifies a new level of enlightened self interest towards job creation opportunities for its teeming youth population, while ensuring value addition to its abundant major tyre manufacturing raw materials, such as natural rubber and carbon black, both of which make up about 70% volume. Both Nigeria's petrochemical and steel resources also hold strong promise to provide the bulk of the remaining major raw materials for tyre manufacturing, into the future.

Market Reports

Kenya's Automotive Market

Kenya’s GDP per capita is expected to reach US$1,432 by the end of 2015 and to grow at a CAGR of 7.5% between till 2020. This is expected to result in an increase in private consumption and amongst other things, drive the sales of motor vehicles. Expenditure on the purchase of cars, motorcycles and other vehicles accounted for 1.5% of total consumer expenditure in 2015 and is expected to remain relatively stable to 2025 as incomes rise. The volume of imported cars and motorcycles has been on the increase due to the availability of attractive credit from financial institutions and the rise of the middle class. According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) the volume of imported vehicles between 2003 and 2012 have grown at over 300% from 33,000 units to 110,474 units. Passenger vehicles were Kenya’s fourth largest import overall in 2015, valued at approximately US$440 million and making up 2.4% of total imports (by value) while commercial vehicles ranked seventh, valued at US$380 million. If the current trend of 10% to 12% growth per annum on vehicle imports is to be maintained, Kenya will have five million vehicles on the road by the year 2030. In the early 1980s, Kenya banned the importation of FBUs. At the time, Kenya was assembling approximately 18,000 units locally. Following a World Bank-imposed structural adjustment programme (SAP) in mid-1993, the country removed a large number of trade restrictions and the economy underwent liberalisation, allowing the importation of FBUs. As no age limit was imposed on vehicles imported, second-hand imports, some up to 20 years old, flooded the market. To date, Kenya is still highly dependent on imports to meet domestic demand, with imports making up 94% of bilateral automotive trade and second-hand vehicles accounting for over 80% of those imports. Both passenger and commercial vehicles feature in Kenya’s top ten imports by value. As the regional gateway on account of the Port of Mombasa, 99.9% of Kenya’s automotive exports are to other African countries, with Uganda and Tanzania being the biggest markets. Africa Automotive Directory The African Automotive Directory compiled by Africa Business Pages has emerged as a helpful resource for those looking for buyers of automotive spare parts in Africa. The Africa Automotive Directory lists all major auto parts importers in 49 African countries and is available for immediate download in Excel format. This special directory is updated every six months is available for sale at the Africa Business Pages B2B portal at a nominal cost of US$350. The Africa Automotive Directory has helped many exporters, manufacturers and dealers of automotive spare parts connect with their business counterparts in the African markets and develop direct business relations and expand their sales and distribution network in key African markets. Kenya: Booming Market for Automotive Spare Parts Although Kenya used to have large volumes of grey and illegal imports, this has been reduced through a number of government interventions, and as a result the used imported market is now more regulated. The Kenya Revenue Authority and the Kenya Bureau of Standards are situated at entry ports such as the Port of Mombasa and Jomo Kenyatta International Airport to monitor and record the arrival of vehicles. Vehicles entering through these ports that are destined for countries other than Kenya, such as Uganda, have to receive their clearance and payment confirmation of registration fees from the destination country before they are able to leave the port of entry. Vehicles Numbers It is estimated that approximately 80% of Kenya’s total vehicle fleet are second-hand vehicles, with a total vehicle fleet of around 1.4 million units in 2015. In 2014, the average age of vehicles on Kenya’s roads was 15 years, which has resulted in high levels of pollution, frequent break-downs of vehicles, and a large non-genuine spare parts industry developing. The total number of vehicles in use grew at a CAGR of 7.7% between 2005 and 2015. Figures for Kenya’s motorisation rate differ depending on the source, and range between 26 and 28 vehicles per 1,000 persons. This is forecast to increase to 31.5 in 2019, reflecting vehicle ownership growing faster than Kenya’s population. Vehicle Sales According to the KNBS, a total of 112,536 vehicles were registered in 2015 – this included newly registered and re-registered vehicles. KNBS does not differentiate between the registration of new vehicles and the re-registration of used vehicles, whereas the Kenya Motor Industry (KMI) only records new vehicles sold. KMI states that 19,523 new vehicles were sold in Kenya in 2015, reflecting the dominance of used vehicles in the retail market. In 2015 light and heavy commercial vehicles combined accounted for 86% of total vehicle sales, highlighting the importance of larger vehicles, such as light commercial vehicles, minibuses, heavy trucks, and buses. Sedans and SUVs made up 14%. Heavy commercial vehicles too saw the highest growth, with a CAGR of 17.5% between 2005 and 2015 and thus were key drivers underpinning new vehicle sales growth over that period. Sales of new vehicles in Kenya are driven by the demand for transportation in the construction, mining, agri-business, tourism, energy and retail sectors. The government and in particular its law enforcement and security authorities are significant buyers of new vehicles. The most popular second-hand vehicles cost between Ksh350,000 and Ksh500,000. In light of current growth drivers, business fleet purchases make up a significant proportion of total vehicle sales. It is expected that firms investing in Kenya’s economy will drive stronger demand for business fleet purchases, particularly given the number of major infrastructure investments in the country in recent years, notably the Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia-Transport (LAPSSET) Corridor Project. The Kenya Local Government Sector Reform Strategy has given greater budgetary autonomy to local governments (Counties), resulting in County governments expanding their vehicle fleets and further driving local demand. Production and Assembly Kenya’s automotive market is largely focused on retail and distribution of vehicles, and after-sales support in servicing and spare parts sales. Small scale assembly of motor vehicles is done at three assembly plants, the General Motors East Africa (GMEA) plant in Nairobi, the Associated Vehicle Assemblers (AVA) plant in Mombasa and the Kenya Vehicle Manufacturers (KVM) plant in Thika. All three of the plants are operating below their capacity. However, the country’s good infrastructure, relative to other countries in the region, as well as its physical and strong economic position within the East Africa Community (EAC), make it a potential hub for automotive assembly and production in the region. Recently, counties have been lobbying with investors to set up manufacturing hubs in their regions to provide employment and promote trade within their jurisdictions. In February 2016, Machakos County signed a deal with Ashok Leyland to set up an assembly plant in the county recently. Locally produced vehicles are assembled from CKD kits with minimal locally produced inputs. KMI defines CKDs as a package of most or all of the individual parts of a vehicle, as separate pieces. All of the pieces are brand new from their country of origin. As Kenya does not locally assemble sedans (except occasionally on an ad hoc basis), commercial vehicles dominate Kenya’s domestic production – a similar focus employed in the early stages of Thailand’s automotive sector. In 2015, Kenya assembled 9,295 vehicles, of which 921 (close to 10% of assembly) were light commercial vehicles (LCVs) such as pick-up trucks, and the rest of the 9,295 were heavy commercial vehicles (HCVs) such as trucks and buses. The assembly of motor vehicles in Kenya grew by almost 32% from 2013 to 2015. High growth of 54.4%, 43.7% and 20.8% was registered in the production of pick-ups, trucks and buses respectively. Kenya’s vehicle assembly figures are forecasted to almost double between 2013 and 2019. Policy Environment The Kenyan government has identified the automotive and auto parts industry as a major economic driver in the Kenya National Industrialisation Policy Framework released in 2010. In order to build up its automotive industry, the framework identified five policy statements: 1. The development of a 40 hectare automotive industrial park in Machakos by 2012; 2. Providing incentives to encourage locally assembled vehicles and the production of autos parts in order to gradually replace imported second-hand vehicles with locally assembled vehicles; 3. The establishment of a National Automotive Industry committee which would be tasked with developing the automotive value chain and co-ordinating the industry; 4. Impose high tariffs on automotive parts that could rather be produced locally to encourage the growth of a local industry; and 5. Set up a joint venture with an established automotive manufacturer by 2016 with the goal of domesticating the company within ten years. While to date, most of the goals are yet to be realised, the government has devised a number of policies such as a 30% local input requirement for locally assembled vehicles (although this had not been implemented at the time of writing). The Kenyan government has also committed to supporting entrepreneurs in the automotive components industry, developing the auto components supply chain, placing high tariffs on imported automotive components that could be manufactured locally and the formation of a national automotive industry board. All vehicles imported for use in Kenya attract an IDF (Import Declaration Fee of 2.25% of CIF) and RDL (Railway Development Levy of 1.5% of CIF) tax and are depreciated based on the year of manufacture and registration. Vehicles imported as CKDs attract 0% import duty but can only be imported by a licensed manufacturer. CKD kits are assembled in a KRA Bonded Warehouse facility and are only then required to pay IDF fees. However, as soon as these are removed from the bonded facility and are used in Kenya, they are subject to value added tax (VAT), excise duty and the RDL. Vehicles assembled in Kenya for export are not subject to domestic taxes. In July 2015 the Ministry of Industrialisation proposed policy measures in the Policy Framework for Motor Vehicle Assembly in Kenya to complement the National Industrialisation Policy Framework. The policy aims to promote new investments in the country’s automotive industry and for Kenya to become a globally competitive vehicle manufacturer. The 2015 framework aims to impose a tax of 2% on all imported FBU units, the creation of an Automotive Innovation Fund (AIF) to support research and development in the sector and the inclusion of the sector in special economic zones (SEZs), with the SEZ Bill passed at the end of 2015. Local assemblers and eventually producers located in SEZs will be afforded benefits including ten year tax holidays, low utility rates, and export credits. The new framework, similar to the National Industrialisation Policy Framework, aims to create a National Automotive Council (NAC) which will be equipped to address aspects relating to the assembly and manufacture of vehicles, including capacity building and the proposal and implementation of incentives. The 2015 Policy Framework for Motor Vehicle Assembly in Kenya differs from the 2010 National Industrialisation Policy Framework in that engagement with the private sector has been more consistent. Rather than focusing on industrialisation as a whole and manufacturing more broadly, the new framework is centred on the automotive industry with a structure to drive local production. Stakeholders in Kenya’s automotive industry were engaged with to a greater degree than before and as a result the 2015 framework is seen as an improvement on the previous framework and a step in the right direction. In contrast to other EAC markets, vehicles older than eight years are not permitted for import into Kenya. Although, there is anecdotal evidence of cases of importers forging import documentation of older vehicles, this law is largely abided by and the industry believes that government implements it effectively. All imported vehicles undergo a roadworthiness inspection and the Ministry of Industrialisation is in the process of lowering the legal age limit of second-hand vehicles imported into the country to five years. This should reduce the number of imported used vehicles, as newer second-hand cars will be more expensive. Within the EAC, products substantially transformed (i.e. from CKD to full assembly) in any of the member states (Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda) should be sold on a duty-free basis in the other member states. In 2009 EAC member states ratified a Common External Tariff (CET) of 25% on vehicles imported into the region, hoping to drive local assembly. However, the other EAC countries have requested that the implementation of the CET be put on hold and continue to impose duties on vehicles assembled in Kenya, which currently is the only country in the EAC with the capacity to assemble vehicles. Tanzania and Uganda’s arguement is that vehicles assembled in Kenya do not abide by Tanzania and Uganda’s local content requirement of 35% and therefore do not qualify for duty-free access to these markets. Vehicles assembled in Kenya are therefore imported into these markets with a CET of 25%. This has resulted in imported vehicles having an advantage over vehicles assembled regionally, as cars arriving from Japan in Uganda and Tanzania are cheaper than vehicles assembled in Kenya. However, the Kenyan government is engaged in talks with other EAC states and it is likely that the issue will be resolved in the short term. Beyond the domestic policy focus on the automotive sector, Kenya was also identified by the EAC as a potential vehicle production hub for the region in its draft East African Industrialisation Strategy 2010-2030 released in 2010. The draft argued for encouraging major carmakers that already imported vehicles into the region to rather produce locally. However, this was left out of the final EAC Industrialisation Strategy 2012-2032, where the assembly of cars, buses and tractors and vehicle spares was identified as having the least growth potential in the region of 20 industries considered. Industry stakeholders interviewed however recognised the opportunity of both the regional parts value chain as well as the EAC as an export market for Kenyan produced vehicles and parts. One of the greatest inhibitors to the advancement of Kenya’s automotive sector is the proliferation of second-hand vehicles available in the market. Decreasing the age of cars allowed for import while simultaneously decreasing the affordability of these cars by increasing the taxes levied on them should drive sales of more affordable, newer, roadworthy, and locally-assembled cars. Incentives to assemble locally, such as tax breaks or waiving of import duties for parts, will make it more affordable to assemble vehicles in Kenya in the short to medium term and could encourage production in the long term. Also, definitions of local content need to be developed and aligned to the other EAC members’ automotive and manufacturing policies. These need to be accepted regionally, especially within the EAC, for Kenya to pursue an East African automotive manufacturing hub and export strategy. The development and promotion of auxiliary industries in partnership with the vehicle assemblers will enable automotive companies to source high-quality inputs locally, further strengthening the case for local assembly. The Kenyan government is particularly aware of the need to improve the country’s infrastructure, with programmes in place to increase electricity accessibility and either refurbish or build new transport infrastructure. Despite new investments in the country, Kenya’s automotive sector is relatively stagnant and runs the risk of being side-lined in the long term by other regional players such as Ethiopia, which has a more progressive approach to industrialisation.

Market Reports

Nord: The Made-in-Nigeria Automotive Marque

The Nigerian auto industry is set to witness a boost with the entry of a fully Nigerian auto company, the Nord brand of automobiles cutting across passenger and commercial vehicles. The five Nord models assembled in Lagos and unveiled are the Nord sedan A3; the Nord SUV A5; Nord Flit mini bus; Nord Max pick up; and Nord Tank pickup. Nord Automobiles is a Nigerian automotive manufacturer with headquarters in Lagos, Nigeria that aims to produce an indigenous made-in-Nigeria automobile brand. The company’s operations focus on delivering quality expertise in the value chain – which includes the design, sourcing, development, assembling, distribution, marketing, provision of sales and after-sales service of its unique Nigerian branded automobiles. Nord fleet of Nigerian branded vehicles include the Nord Max, Flit bus, Aso truck, Lasgi big bus, Q3 sedan, Q5 SUV, Nord Yarn, Ben SUV and the Urban sedan. Nord Automobiles aims to: Design and alignment of vehicles in Nigeria and Sub-Saharan Africa to fit the local climate. Offer affordable and durable vehicles. Offer easy access to best-in-class after-sales quality service. Build a reliable and credible Nigerian auto brand According to Oluwatobi Ajayi, Chief Executive Officer of Nord Automobiles, the company aims to stop the importation of substandard vehicles into Nigeria, and to drastically reduce the huge amounts spent annually on automobile imports from overseas markets. He stated that the fast-evolving Nigerian market has shown a strong demand for vehicles that are stylish, comfortable and have premium features, hence, Nord models have come to meet the demand. With the launch of these vehicles, he added, “we aim to exceed expectations by offering our customers world standard products at very competitive prices.” “The Nord vehicles are designed for the discerning customer, who craves daily satisfaction and full automobile experience. They are a perfect combination of style, performance and fuel efficiency,” he said. Made in Nigeria The Nord assembly plant is located on a 2,100 square meters of land space in Sangotedo in Lagos, while and another one recently acquired and occupying 3,400 square meters of land at Epe is currently undergoing construction for the assembly complex in readiness to meet the growing automotive market and increasing customer demand. Nord Automobiles is collaborating with some of the biggest automotive firms in Europe and Asia, which offers the company an edge in its pursuit to deliver durable, safe, reliable and affordable vehicles for Nigerians and give buyers of the brand good value for money. Stylish Designing Exterior Design – The exterior design of any Nord vehicle replicates class and luxury with a striking presence and bold looks to make sure that your car stands out anywhere you are. The popular Nord Tank has a led daylight running light and a four-wheel drive, the exteriors are powerful and elegant. Interior Design – The interior design is rich and sophisticated and includes several features including a one-button drive function, Eco-drive system, touch screen infotainment, blue tooth, audio streaming, HDMI-in-slots, USB-in-slots. The interior is made with premium upholstery. Safety Features – Nord vehicles are equipped with Antilock Braking System, Electronic Brake Distribution, dual front airbags, and with the highest safety rating by Euro NCAP and C-NCAP. Colour Variants – Nord vehicles have over 6 different colours variant to customize your car with, with options on the website to customize your vehicle giving it a personalised feel. Safety Service and Warranty – Delivery of the models would begin immediately, from dealers. The Nord vehicles would offer complete peace of mind with 1 FREE scheduled maintenance at 3 months or 5000km. Customers can opt for an extended after-sales plan for total peace of mind.

Market Reports

Nigeria's Automotive Market

With a population of close to 180 million and a GDP of US$493 billion in 2015, Nigeria is the most populous country with the largest economy in Africa. Despite the current economic challenges facing the country due to low oil prices and a weakened currency, Nigeria still reveals robust economic growth of 2-4% in the medium term. Owing to the lack of domestic vehicle production, Nigeria is highly dependent on imports to meet its domestic demand. In 2014, passenger vehicles constituted the second-largest import category after petroleum oils or bituminous minerals. Overall automotive related imports stood at US$6.9 billion (passenger vehicle imports: US$2.9 billion) accounting for approximately 11.5% of Nigeria’s total imports. While auto imports recorded rapid growth between 2004 and 2014, the current slowdown in the economy and the recent introduction of high import duties on vehicles linked to the new automotive policy has led to approximately a two-third contraction in vehicle imports according to industry players. Second-hand vehicles dominate the import market. It is estimated that approximately 10% of vehicles imported to Nigeria are brand new. A large share of second-hand vehicles are imported from the US, given that vehicle specifications in this market are more in line with the demand and taste of Nigerian consumers, which is not always met by entry-level models from Europe. Before the hike of import duties on second-hand vehicles, Nigeria imported more than 100,000 cars per year from the the US. In 2015, imports from the US had plummeted to less than 40,000 units. In addition to direct shipments to Nigeria, the Port of Cotonou in neighbouring Benin is a key transit point for second-hand vehicles destined for the Nigerian market. It is estimated that 85% of Benin’s used vehicle imports end up in Nigeria. In 2013, the European Union (EU) and the US exported approximately 300,000 cars to Benin. Based on the import figures for Benin, an additional 255,000 used cars from the EU and the US entered Nigeria via Benin. There is no culture of maintenance in Nigeria – people drive their cars until they break down and then fix them. Vehicle Numbers Depending on the source of data, the current vehicle fleet in the country ranges from 1.3 million vehicles to 10 million vehicles. According to the Federal Road Safety Corps the total fleet size was 1.65 million units in 2015, of which approximately one third are concentrated in Lagos State. Even applying the least conservative estimate of vehicles in use, namely 10 million vehicles, Nigeria’s motorisation rate is approximately one-third that of the global motorisation rate with less than 60 vehicles per 1 000 people. Due to the New Automotive Industry Development Plan (NAIDP) launched in 2014 that increased the prices for imported vehicles, and the economic slowdown triggered by low oil prices, Nigeria’s growth in fleet size slowed down remarkably in 2015. However, it is expected that in the short term fleet growth will stabilise in a range between 4.5% and 5.5% per annum. Vehicle Sales Despite being the most populous country in Africa, Nigeria’s new vehicle sales lag behind less populated countries such as Algeria, Egypt, Morocco and South Africa. According to industry players, the overall new and second-hand market combined ranges between 500,000 and 1 million units per year. Smuggling, grey imports of second-hand vehicles and the lack of reliable data however, make the exact size of Nigeria’s vehicle market and fleet size difficult to quantify. Challenges concerning the licencing and identification of vehicles further contribute to this difficulty. Imported second-hand vehicles, so-called tokunbos, dominate the Nigerian vehicle market as only a small segment of society is able to afford new vehicles. A representative of a leading automotive firm estimates that a mere 2% of the population is able to afford new vehicles given the current economic and financing environment. While commercial banks offer vehicle finance, accessing these credit facilities has become increasingly unattractive to individual consumers as credit facilities are provided at interest rates above 20% per annum and require at least a 10% down-payment. Commercial banks usually require repayment of vehicle loans within four years, due to the rapid depreciation of the value of vehicles given poor road conditions. According to one of the most established vehicle finance providers, the monthly repayment amount should not exceed 35% of the monthly income of the borrower. The short repayment-period as well as the high interest rates present a key challenge for low- and middle-income households when it comes to accessing vehicle finance. Due to the limited accessibility to and expensive financing of vehicles, new vehicles remain out of reach for most Nigerians and the largest share of current vehicle demand comes from the business community. Corporate buyers account for approximately 70% of overall new vehicle purchases, indicating the suppressed demand from private buyers, arguably the market segment with the largest growth potential. Through recently introduced promotional offers by banks in partnership with selected vehicle dealers, customers are able to access finance at a discounted rate for a limited number of vehicles and models. Indeed, the provision of alternative financing products, especially in-house financing by the automotive companies, is seen by industry players as a key requirement for the growth of the local market. However, in the absence of affordable finance solutions, secondhand vehicles remain the more attractive option for private vehicle buyers. According to a representative of a leading automotive company, second-hand passenger vehicles accounted for 80% of sales in 2014. The share of tokunbos in the commercial vehicle market is even larger, reaching up to 90% of the market according to a leading commercial vehicle manufacturer. New vehicle sales are dominated by Toyota which accounts for almost one third of new sales. Hyundai and Kia have established themselves as increasingly serious competitors to Toyota due to their competitive pricing and improved image in terms of quality. In 2015, the three Asian brands accounted for half of new vehicle sales in the country. The economic slowdown, the depreciation of the naira and the increase in vehicle prices due to the import duty hike had a substantial impact on new vehicles sales in 2015. Although vehicle sales saw positive growth post the global financial crisis, total new vehicle sales dropped by more than half in 2015, compared to 2014. The sharp decline of sales highlights the absence of sizeable and competitive domestic assembly that could provide an affordable alternative to imports and the dependency on vehicle imports to meet domestic demand. Production and Assembly Nigeria is no stranger to automotive assembly and manufacturing. Already in the 1970s Nigeria started assembling motor vehicles. In the 1970s and 1980s, the federal government of Nigeria partnered with six international automotive and commercial vehicle manufacturers to produce passenger and commercial vehicles locally from CKD kits. According to the National Automotive Council (NAC) these six companies had an initial installed capacity of 149,000 units per annum during the 1970s and 1980s. “Sometimes, cars are imported to be stripped for parts as availability of genuine parts is limited.” In addition to these plants, the Federal Government entered into five more agreements with international automotive companies to establish assembly plants in 1982, according to the National Automotive Design and Development Council Nigeria. These agreements included the establishment of plants by Isuzu in Maiduguri, Mazda in Umuahia, Mitsubishi in Ilorin, Nissan in Minna and Peugeot in Gusau. However, these plans did not materialise. Furthermore, due to inconsistent policy implementation, corruption, declining patronage by local and federal government departments and lack of reliable power supply, the output and capacity utilisation of the six existing plants declined rapidly. Symptomatic of the demise of Nigeria’s automotive industry was the stop of production activities by Peugeot Automobile Nigeria (PAN), Nigeria’s largest manufacturer, in 2010. Since then assembly plants have been lying dormant. By 2012, all of the country’s automotive manufacturers had been privatised as the government exited the existing partnerships, eroding any incentives for government departments to purchase locally assembled vehicles The launch of Nigeria’s NAIDP in 2014 and the subsequent hike in import tariffs for vehicles has attracted the interest of leading international carmakers and has led to the resumption of small scale vehicle assembly in the country. While the high import tariffs are aimed at encouraging local assembly, the sharp drop in vehicle sales in Nigeria in 2015 is a strong indication that this measure had an adverse impact on overall vehicle prices in the absence of a sufficient assembly base that could provide substitutes for imported vehicles. In 2015, local assembly was only able to cover 10-15% of the new vehicle market. According to a senior representative of one of the automotive companies present in Nigeria, approximately 1,000 passenger vehicles were assembled in Nigeria in 2015 – an even more conservative estimate. Currently, 35 companies are licensed to produce by the Nigerian Automotive Council under the NAIDP. Despite the increased focus on the automotive industry, the sector’s contribution to Nigeria’s GDP remains low at 0.07%. At present the vehicles are assembled from imported SKD kits with a limited degree of local inputs-sourcing due to the lack of a reliable and adequate domestic supplier base. While current assembly figures are low, with Peugeot Automobile Nigeria recording the largest number of vehicles assembled in 2015 with 400 units, the automotive companies aim at increasing their annual output in order to capitalise on the long-term growth prospects of the Nigerian market. However, due to the current economic slowdown, expansion plans are likely to be delayed as reflected in the decline of employment levels in some of the assembly facilities. Africa Automotive Directory The African Automotive Directory compiled by Africa Business Pages has emerged as a helpful resource for those looking for buyers of automotive spare parts in Africa. The Africa Automotive Directory lists all major auto parts importers in 49 African countries and is available for immediate download in Excel format. This special directory is updated every six months is available for sale at the Africa Business Pages B2B portal at a nominal cost of US$350. The Africa Automotive Directory has helped many exporters, manufacturers and dealers of automotive spare parts connect with their business counterparts in the African markets and develop direct business relations and expand their sales and distribution network in key African markets.

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