Market Reports

Under Invoicing: Concern for African Countries

Ethiopia has adopted a new system to tackle trade under-invoicing that costs the country an estimated $2 billion every year. Ethiopia Customs and Revenue Authority has linked its new Customs database to global price makers which updates itself automatically. The new system will help detect cases where importers under-invoice the value of their goods in order to reduce their import duties.

“We are also identifying the major importers in the country for close follow-up by our intelligence unit. We also have a plan to pay up to 10 per cent of the recovered tax money to members of the public who inform us of tax fraud,” said Sisay Bikaru, director of Ethiopia Customs and Revenue Authority (ERCA).

7aa2f82809eb42408d8c2793ff9055ea According to reports, Ethiopia loses $1.97 billion every year through trade under-invoicing, and a further $630 million every year through illicit financial flows. The losses constitute five to 10 per cent of the country’s GDP.

Uganda, Tanzania and DR Congo lose about $720 million, $480 million and $225 million annually to illicit flows.

In Africa, South Africa is ranked top at $20.9 billion lost through illicit flows annually, followed by Nigeria at $17.8 billion, Morocco at $4.1 billion, Egypt at $3.9 billion, Zambia at $2.8 billion and Cote d’Ivoire at $2.3 billion.

Ethiopia’s tax to GDP ratio stands at 13 per cent, compared with 15 per cent for sub-Saharan Africa.

According to recent reports developing countries lose $85 billion a year through trade under-invoicing, with China losing the most through illicit financial flows.

Kenya’s Car Market Poised for Major Shift by 2030

Market Reports

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Market Reports

AirCar, Turkey's first domestically produced flying car, has officially begun crewed flight trials. Developed in the nor...

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ASIMCO Launches Comprehensive Range of Rubber Parts for Automotive Industry

Market Reports

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A-MAP AND ASIMCO Make A Strong Presence at Automechanika Dubai

Market Reports

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New OTR tyre by Goodyear gains popularity in Africa amongst long haul fleets

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Indian automotive industry Gears Up for ACMA Automechanika

Market Reports

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Nord: The Made-in-Nigeria Automotive Marque

Market Reports

The Nigerian auto industry is set to witness a boost with the entry of a fully Nigerian auto company, the Nord brand of...

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Asimco Launches Major Branding Campaign Across East African Markets

Auto Parts

Asimco, the leading manufacturer of premium friction products including brake pads, brake shoes, fuel pumps, brake fluid...

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Market Reports

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East Africa

EkoRent Africa, an electric mobility company has launched a full electric vehicle service called Nopia Ride in Nairobi,...

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Hyundai Opens Vehicle Assembly Plant in Ethiopia

Market Reports

South Korea’s Hyundai Motor Company has entered into the Ethiopian automobile market recently, following in the footstep...

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A-Map announce 15% discount on Solite batteries

Market Reports

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Market Reports

Hyundai Opens Vehicle Assembly Plant in Ethiopia

South Korea’s Hyundai Motor Company has entered into the Ethiopian automobile market recently, following in the footsteps of German car automaker Volkswagen. Hyundai is expected to assemble more than 10,000 vehicles annually at its Ethiopian plant. The plant will assemble trucks and passenger hatchbacks cars and will serve other East African countries including Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Sudan and Kenya. The plant was established at a cost of $17.5 million and will create employment opportunities for 200 people initially, and with the possibility to create 1,000 jobs once it goes fully operational. Hyundai is making a magnificent impact in Africa having disclosed Hyundai Sante Fe 2019 in the Ghanaian market early this year. Its entrance in Ethiopia establishes the country as a preferred investment hub in East Africa. Last year, Ethiopia was named Africa’s fastest growing economy with a growth rate of 8.5 per cent making it an attractive investment destination. Volkswagen signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Ethiopian Investment Commission (EIC) in January 2019 enabling it to establish a car assembly facility in Ethiopia. By doing so, Ethiopia has become the third Sub-Saharan country to pen such an agreement, with Ghana and Nigeria.

Market Reports

Exporting automobiles to Africa: Incentives & Challenges

Formed in 2015, the Africa Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM) works specifically to promote and facilitate the growth of the African automotive industry. Formed by executives from the world’s biggest car manufacturers, the African Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM) embarked on a concerted push to revive and resurrect Africa’s auto industry. Since then, the newly-created African Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM) has been working with key African governments to create the right policy environment for the sector to ?ourish. Not surprisingly, one of the organisation’s ?rst ports of call was government leaders in Nigeria’s capital Abuja. Fast-growing Nigeria is the jewel in Africa’s auto crown with just 44 vehicles per 1,000 inhabitants, far below the global average of 180 vehicles per 1,000 inhabitants, according to recent estimates by a Deloitte report. While new vehicle sales have jumped in developing markets like China, India and Brazil over the last decade, growth in Africa has remained relatively slow. According to the International Organisation of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA), only 1.5 million new vehicles were sold across the African continent’s 54 countries with a combined population of 1 billion in 2016. South African consumers buy most new cars, and together with Egypt, Algeria and Morocco account for almost 80 per cent of the continent’s total auto sales, with only muted demand from important economies like Nigeria and Kenya. But far from being a disincentive to investors, the ?gures act as a rallying call. “When Volkswagen and General Motors moved into China the motorisation rate was lower than in Ethiopia today. The limited market was not a deterrent for the early movers who recognised China’s long-term potential,” says Karthi Pillay, Africa automotive leader, risk advisory at Deloitte. Africa’s untapped demand combines with a steady increase in consumer spending which has been rising at an annual rate of 10 per cent over the last few years. Moreover, analysts predict that by 2030, over half a billion Africans will have joined the middle class. “If the growth in vehicle sales keeps pace with growing consumer spending, annual sales of passenger cars in Sub-Saharan Africa will surpass 10 million units by 2030,” says South African consultancy B&M Analysts. Mix with this a renewed determination amongst African leaders to diversify their economies through boosting manufacturing. New policies aimed at increasing domestic car production are starting to pay off. In 2016, China’s state-owned car manufacturer Beijing Automotive International Corp unveiled plans to build a R11bn (US$759mn) auto plant in South Africa – the biggest investment in a vehicle-production facility in the country in four decades will earmark over half of its output for export, initially to East, West and North Africa. Elsewhere, after a four-decade break in production, Volkswagen is starting up its Kenyan production line once again. The signs are good. But with challenges ranging from imported used cars ?ooding the market to Africa’s weak manufacturing base and a lack of ?nance for would-be car owners, Africa promises a challenging operating environment. USED CARS THRIVE IN AFRICA The biggest barrier to new vehicle sales in Africa is cheap, imported second-hand cars from the US, Europe and Japan. Consultancy Deloitte estimates that eight out of 10 imported cars in Ethiopia, Kenya and Nigeria are used cars. According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) the volume of imported vehicles between 2005 and 2017 grew at over 300 per cent from 33,000 to over 120,000 units. Governments are developing policies to limit the in?ux. In an effort to hike the price of second-hand cars to favour more new car purchases, Kenya has forbidden vehicles over eight years old from entering into the country, with plans to reduce this further. Similarly, Nigeria has increased its import duty on second-hand vehicles, most of which arrive in a bustling trade from the US into Africa via Benin’s Cotonou port. As a result, Nigeria’s imports of cars from the US plummeted from more than 100,000 a year to less than 40,000 units in 2015. Other signs of change include the enduring stagnation of the Japanese economy. It has resulted in sluggish sales of new cars there, which in turn has created a shortage in the supply of quality used vehicles. There has been “a deterioration of the environment surrounding the export of the used motor vehicles industry”, says Hiroshi Sato, chairman of the Japan Used Motor Vehicle Exporters Association. As crucial as controlling used-car imports is to nurturing a domestic industry, so is establishing a manufacturing base. South Africa leads the continent’s auto manufacturing sector with original equipment manufacturers, long-established in the country and backed by a vibrant community of 500 suppliers and diversi?ed manufacturers. Yet, head up the continent and there is little auto manufacturing until North Africa, bar light manufacturing from imported kits. Kenya only has three assembly plants, and they all produce vehicles with wholly imported parts that require no domestic manufacturing input. The Kenyan government, which has identi?ed the auto sector as a key driver of the country’s industrialisation policy, has promised incentives to encourage a local industry. These include building special economic zones which bene?t from tax holidays and low utility rates. It has also introduced local input requirements and tariffs on imported auto components that could be manufactured locally. Encouragingly, the assembly of motor vehicles in Kenya grew by 31.4% from 2013 to 2014, with assembly ?gures forecast to almost double between 2013 and 2019. It’s improving the country’s chances of becoming a hub for assembly and production in the region. It’s a similar story in Nigeria, where the Automotive Industry Development Plan (NAIDP) pledges to build auto industry infrastructure including supplier parks and clusters. Tax incentives include Nigeria allowing car groups to import two fully-built units at a discount duty of 35 per cent for cars and 20 per cent for commercial vehicles, for every one built locally. The government also aims to boost skills and investment and encourage a local component industry to supply manufacturers at competitive prices. It amounts to the kinds of incentives that encouraged Ford to begin assembling its Ford Ranger pickup in the Nigerian city of Ikeja in 2015, partnering with Ford dealer group Coscharis Motors on the project. “Nigeria is a priority market for us in Sub-Saharan Africa and this will allow us to better serve our customers, both from a retail point of view and in terms of vehicle and parts availability,” says Jeff Nemeth, president and CEO of Ford Motor Company of Sub-Saharan Africa. “We are committed to supporting Nigeria’s developing automotive industry and economy together with Coscharis, and are looking forward to being active in the community. New assembly operations, even on a smaller scale like this one, have very positive ripple effects in the local economy and workforce.” But nurturing indigenous manufacturing is still dif?cult. Nigeria-based groups Nissan and Peugeot also only assemble the bulk of their vehicles from imported semi-knocked down (SKD) kits because there is no local manufacturing industry. Even Nigeria’s own Innoson Vehicle Manufacturing Company (IVM) based in the south-eastern Anambra state, assembles trucks and buses with completely knocked-down (CKD) kits with all the vehicles’ engines, gear boxes and electrical parts imported from overseas. Auto-related imports into Nigeria accounted for around 11.5% of total imports, worth around US$6.9bn in 2014, according to UNCTAD. AFRICA'S AUTOMOTIVE SECTOR Nigerian policy is currently making things even more dif?cult. Like all manufacturing, the auto sector is struggling under currency policies and associated import controls set up to conserve hard currency – and encourage local manufacturing – by prioritising strategic imports. It’s starving the auto sector of inputs and leading to a collapse in supplies of product lines from glass to rubber. OICA estimates that total new vehicle sales in Nigeria dropped by more than half in 2017, compared to 2016. It’s this kind of foreign exchange controls that are also limiting the ability of companies to import SKD units and parts for assembly and repair in Ethiopia, where high taxes also make cars unaffordable for most. Exporting within Africa is also a challenge for the continent’s carmakers because of tariffs and barriers. Uganda and Tanzania slap tariffs on cars assembled in Kenya, the only country in the East African Community with assembly capability, because they don’t meet local input criteria. It gives imported second-hand cars the edge. In recent times, Toyota South Africa saw a fall in exports to the rest of the continent as a result of higher tariffs in Nigeria, Algeria and Angola. Meanwhile, South Africa exports more vehicles to Europe, the US and even Asia than it does to its neighbouring African market. “Vehicle exports to Europe and Asia continued to show growth. Vehicle exports to African markets recorded substantial declines. This was due to a combination of factors including ad hoc duty increases in Nigeria and Zimbabwe, regulatory restrictions in Algeria and weaker economic conditions across most African countries due to the decline in commodity prices,” says Nico Vermeulen, director of the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa (NAAMSA). FINANCING NEW CARS IN AFRICA Governments also need to create easier access to car ?nance. “The availability of ?nancing for new motor vehicles is virtually non-existent in most African countries,” says Vermeulen. South African banks have been quickest off the mark. South Africa’s FirstRand Bank announced plans to set up a vehicle ?nancing arm in Nigeria via its subsidiary WesBank, Sub-Saharan Africa’s largest provider of auto loans. Meanwhile, First Bank of Nigeria has spotted opportunity in the growth of car sharing in Nigeria in a development that the architects trying to build demand for new cars can hardly welcome. The bank’s vehicle ?nancing arm plans to extend borrowing to highly-rated Uber drivers via low-interest, used vehicle loans. The car-sharing platform has operated in Abuja and Lagos since it entered the Nigerian market in 2014. It currently has more than 2,000 drivers and was targeting 4,000 by the end of 2016. “We are absolutely committed to making it as easy as possible for our driver partners to start and maintain their own successful and pro?table businesses,” says Ebi Atawodi, general manager of Uber Nigeria. “And these used vehicle ?nance options make it possible for those with a demonstrable performance commitment to build sustainable businesses without incurring the high costs often associated with new vehicle purchases.” The growth in car sharing in Nigeria leads Deloitte’s Pillay to ponder future developments in the industry. “It shows mobility leapfrogging car ownership; Africa may not be a market focused on making and selling cars,” he suggests. Indian and Chinese manufacturers believe their low-cost models will have the advantage, while others are betting on the electric car. Uganda’s Kiira Motors grew out of a research project at Makerere University and is aiming to produce electric vehicles by 2019 before becoming original manufacturers by 2039. Ford is expanding its multi-modal approach to urban mobility. One of the innovations on show at Go Further Africa was its electric MoDe:Pro e-bike. Whatever the future holds, Africa’s consumers are the last untapped market for the auto giants.

Auto Parts

Al Muqarram Auto Parts doing well in South Africa

Asad Badami, Managing Director of Al Muqarram Auto Parts Al Muqarram Auto Parts (A-MAP) started its operations in South Africa in 2006 under the name AL MUQARRAM DISTRIBUTORS CC. Its office is located in Johannesburg, which is the business hub of the Southern African region. The major products distributed through our South African distribution facility are SOLITE batteries and ASIMCO auto parts. Driven by its on-going success Al-Muqarram Auto Spare Parts Trading (A-MAP), one of the largest distributors of automotive products in the region, is poised for further expansion. Located in the heart of Dubai’s main business trading hub, Deira, A-MAP presently operates a network of branches in Qatar, China, South Africa, Russia and USA. The company also exports a range of automobile spare parts to several African countries. Mr. Asad Badami, Managing Director, enthusiastically commented “Our growth is not a question of chance but is a result of various resources working together. We believe there is no limit to growth because there is no limit to hard work, imagination and evolving strategies. Today’s markets are seamless and we as a team are determined to penetrate new territories and demonstrate the A-MAP advantage.” Having recently launched a new development project in Jebel Ali Free Zone, A-MAP’s new warehouse and office facilities are currently under construction and should be completed by early 2017. Further to expanding its facilities, A-MAP has also recently opened its own distribution facilities in the Qatar and Russian markets. In a constant search for expansion, A-MAP’s product team continue their plan to launch new brands in the aftermarket. Achilles tyres has been added to the company’s portfolio when an agreement with an Indonesian firm was signed for the distribution of their product. The recent agreement with Sharjah Municipality to supply Solite automotive batteries for their fleet is also a significant milestone for A-MAP, adding to the list of reputed companies, departments and institutions to its fleet portfolio. The agreement also reinforces the company’s excellence and capabilities to offer 360-degree service in line with partners’ requirements and specifications.

Market Reports

The Market for Auto Parts in Ghana

The market for auto parts in Ghana presents numerous opportunities. First and foremost, Ghana’s manufacturing industry has always been receiving good support from the local government. The encouragement and support of the Ghana government has enabled the country to emerge as one of the 40 fastest growing industrial production regions in the world. Ghana's impressive manufacturing industry currently accounts for a quarter of the country's GDP and is expected to account for more than 30% of the GDP by 2021. And the main driver for Ghana's booming manufacturing industry is the automobile industry. The automotive market in Ghana is diverse. It ranges from Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and component manufacturers, to dealerships and commercial vehicle manufacturers. Financial pressures, industry restructuring, changing consumer preferences, regulating issues, fluctuating fuel prices and the growing demand for more environmentally friendly vehicles are constantly transforming West Africa's automotive industry. The Ghanian automotive industry continues to adjust to market forces. The manufacturing level is being impacted by the increasing number of imported vehicles and the after affects of the global economic crisis, especially the uncertainty with regards to the European markets and the impact on local manufacturing. To survive and grow, automotive companies in Ghana must continuously develop and maintain customer relationships, achieve technical excellence and retain skilled labour pools, and manage significant risks. The automobile sector of Ghana has been a driver of growth of the country as it is one of the most visible sectors to receive foreign investment. Ghana is a multicultural and ethnically diverse West African nation and is the 9th largest African economy. On the Ibrahim Index of African Governance, Ghana ranks as the 7th best economy in Africa, which implies a relative safety of foreign investment in the region. Also, Ghana ranks relatively high in the ease of doing business index and also has an extremely high freedom of press rating, which makes it a good emerging market to invest in. Some of the popular car brands in the West Africa region are Toyota, Mercedes Benz, Mitsubishi, KIA, Nissan, Hyundai Volkswagen, Renault among others. AFRICAN AUTO PARTS INDUSTRY The African auto parts market for passenger vehicles is emerging as one of the most important re-export markets, growing more than 11 per cent year-on-year, and estimated to be worth US$14.68 billion in 2017 and based on the double-digit growth of demand in key Sub-Saharan countries, the value of the Africa’s auto parts market is likely to double by 2022. Countries such as Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, Ghana, have witnessed double digit growth in demand of parts in the past five years. Focusing on the tremendous opportunities of doing business in the fast-emerging African market, there are currently more than 21.6 million cars on the continent’s roads which make up for nearly 70 per cent of spare parts consumption. There are five modes of automobile service business in Ghana, these are : New car dealers Independent garages/shops Specialty garages /shops Service stations or garages Fleet garages /shop However, the region still has its challenges. The African market is unstructured and the share of non-genuine parts is the biggest challenge to the automotive aftermarket in this region. Political issues, credit policies, and business sustainability related issues also impact the market, but these are mostly limited to Central Africa. Despite this the future outlook remained bright for those exporting to Africa, with the best opportunities existing in Kenya, Angola, Uganda, Nigeria and Ghana. Used engines are in great demand in many African countries which have a big market for re-conditioned automobiles. Most of the African buyers have substantial requirements for quantities of automotive batteries, tyres, spare parts, ball bearings, water pumps and a host of electronic goods. People prefer buying used spare parts because they are genuine and are often in good condition. Every spare parts outlet may not provide the full range of used parts of all car models but together the market is capable of providing nearly 90 per cent of such parts. The diversified range of used mechanical and body parts of cars and engines has brought this business parallel to genuine and non-genuine new spare parts businesses as it offers big variety at affordable prices. There has been an increasing demand for automobile spares, ball bearings and lubricants in the fast developing markets of Africa. The rapid growth of the middle class in many African countries has pushed demand for automobiles to an all-time high – in turn creating a growing market for all kinds of tyres: passenger car tyres, off-the-road tyres, industrial tyres, agricultural tyres, truck, bus and trailer tyres as well as motorcycle and bicycle tyres. The rising demand for tyres in Africa has led to stiff competition between tyre manufacturers from all across the world seeking to garner a major share of the market for tyres in the new and emerging African markets. Traditionally, European tyre manufactures had had a monopoly over the African markets and many European brands were top selling tyres in many African countries. However, in recent times, European tyre firms are beginning to lose ground to Chinese and other Asian brands in several African markets. The African countries are price-sensitive markets and prefer to import low-priced Chinese tyres rather than the expensive European and American brands. There is an equally strong market for sale and importation of used tyres in this region. Apart from Dunlop International the other three significant players in the African market for tyres are Continental, Bridgestone and Goodyear. Some of the major exporters of auto spare parts to Africa from Dubai include: Al Muqarram Auto Spare Parts Bagader Trading Est. BBG Trading VRB Trades FZE Zafco Trading Zeetex SPARE PARTS MARKET IN GHANA Currently most of the consumers in the automobile segment belong to the affluent class hence the automobile industry in Ghana presents massive opportunities for the future as the burgeoning middle class is largely untapped in the country. One of the major problems with Ghana that has been impeding the growth of the automobile sector is the lack of financial inclusion in the country. Most people do not have access to financial loans and other options like lease that make owning an automobile easy. The Africa Automotive Directory is a useful resource for those seeking importers of automotive spare parts in the African markets. Available for download in Excel format. While the global automotive industry is fiercely competitive, there are other factors that limit or even distort trade. For decades, various governments around the world have used trade distorting policies to support the creation and expansion of domestic automotive industries that were not otherwise economically feasible. This has been accomplished through combinations of subsidies, tariffs and non-tariff barriers. The market for automobile spare parts, in particular, has been an attractive sector for enterprises supplying these goods to many countries in Africa. The rapid industrialisation currently sweeping across many African countries has resulted in an increased demand for capital goods such as machinery, lubricants, spare parts, ball bearings and other mechanical accessories. The automobile sector of Ghana has been a driver of growth of the country as it is one of the most visible sectors to receive foreign investment. Indian automobiles major Mahindra and Mahindra, has invested heavily in the country and has made it as a regional hub for the manufacture of its Sports Utility Vehicles. Ghana’s first Ghanaian carmaker Kantanka Automobile Company says after years of vigorous research and tests it was now determined to release into the global market strong, robust, durable and reliable cars. The manufacturing base in Accra can currently produce around 100 cars a month. On the Ibrahim Index of African Governance, Ghana ranks as the 7th best economy in Africa, which implies a relative safety of foreign investment in the region. Also, Ghana ranks relatively high in the ease of doing business index and also has an extremely high freedom of press rating, which makes it a good emerging market to invest in. Moving forward, automotive companies must look for new ways to address existing challenges, mitigate risks, and seize future opportunities, amidst increasingly aggressive competition and pricing pressures. While some may be tempted to focus on short-term success to the detriment of long-term profitability, a holistic approach can help automotive companies take a big-picture view to explore the appropriate paths forward. Africa Automotive Directory The African Automotive Directory compiled by Africa Business Pages has emerged as a helpful resource for those looking for buyers of automotive spare parts in Africa. The Africa Automotive Directory lists all major auto parts importers in 49 African countries and is available for immediate download in Excel format. This special directory is updated every six months is available for sale at the Africa Business Pages B2B portal at a nominal cost of US$350. The Africa Automotive Directory has helped many exporters, manufacturers and dealers of automotive spare parts connect with their business counterparts in the African markets and develop direct business relations and expand their sales and distribution network in key African markets.

Market Reports

Nigeria's Tyre Market

Globally, the leading tyre manufacturers today include Bridgestone, Michelin, Goodyear, Continental, Pirelli and Sumitomo (for Dunlop brand). World production of tyre is estimated to be 860 million units annually. Within Africa, significant tyre factories exist in Egypt, South Africa and Zimbabwe. Nigeria tyre market is now emerging as a leading importer of tyres in West Africa. The Nigerian tyre industry took off shortly after independence in 1960 with both Dunlop Nigeria Plc and Michelin Nigeria Limited establishing their respective manufacturing outfits. By the Year 2005, the combined annual local capacity was 2.25m units, representing 75% of Nigerian tyre market at that time. These two companies were the only tyre manufacturing outfits in Nigeria, and indeed the West Africa region. Africa accounts for less than 1% of the global tyre production, while Nigeria then produced only about 0.2% when its factories were fully operational before the owners of the two tyre factories (Dunlop Nigeria Plc and Michelin Nigeria Ltd) shut them at the end of 2008 and 2006 respectively, due to the harsh operating environment (infrastructural deficiency, tariff structure, etc). THE NIGERIAN TYRE MARKET In the last forty years and starting during the oil boom years, the increased number of cars in Nigeria over saturated Nigerian roads. The demand for tyres kept growing over the years and the tyre market, like many other markets in the country at that time, was a seller’s market. This growth continued until the economy started to decline in the last twenty years as a result of the world’s energy crisis, coupled with our own internal problems. Over the last 20 years or so, it had become difficult to buy new cars and most people had to resort to second hand (Tokunbo) cars. The market reacted by importing an increasing number of second hand cars into the country from different parts of the world, which became more affordable and influenced the car tyre market in several ways. In the Nigeria tyre market, there are both premium and budget (cheaper tyres), but the ever declining purchasing power of the consumers continued to make the budget tyres more attractive. Budget tyres (which account for about 80% of the Nigerian total tyre market) are imported mainly from Asian countries. These are usually low quality, low priced tyres, allowed into the country so long as they meet the standards set by Government agencies. Standards Organisation of Nigeria is expected to inspect these tyres on arrival. The global tyre market is estimated to be $190 billion while the tyre market in Nigeria is about $1.0 billion. The total Nigerian tyre market size is estimated to be 5.7 million units (car, van & light truck – 3.9m and truck – 1.8m) with a projected growth rate of 3-5% annually). There are about 150 brands of tyres in the Nigerian market with five dominant players namely: Dunlop, Michelin, Bridgestone, Pirelli and Firestone. By 2008, all the imported brands accounted for about 90% share of the market as against only 25% in 2005. Today, all the tyres in the Nigerian market are imported following the cessation of local tyre manufacturing. DOWNLFALL OF THE TYRE INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA Dunlop was incorporated on October 21, 1961, beginning with tyre imports and started production in 1963. The raw materials for tyre manufacturing are natural and synthetic rubber, carbon black, wires, zinc oxide and other chemicals. All the raw materials are imported except zinc oxide, mineral oil and natural rubber. Warri Petrochemicals produced 2 out of 6 grades of carbon black used by the tyre industry locally. Dunlop Nigeria Plc, when the import duty tariff on both car & truck was 40%, started importing Heavy Truck Radial (HTR) in 2000. The company subsequently embarked on the local production of Heavy Truck Radial, which was part funded by National Automotive Council (NAC) through its NAC- Automotive Development Fund. The HTR factory was commissioned by in 2005. Barely 4 four months after, there was a reduction in HTR tariff to 10% from 40%. In December 2006, Michelin Nigeria Limited shut its factory due to the harsh operating environment (infrastructural deficiency, tariff structure, etc), disposed its equipment and left, after 43 years of operations in Nigeria. Dunlop Nigeria Plc continued despite the fact that the problems that made Michelin to relocate out of Nigeria also affected it but remained with the hope that those problems would be addressed. Unfortunately, these problems made it difficult for Dunlop to dispose its tyres (both truck and car) at reasonable margins because it had to compete with imports at 10% duty rate and the attendant infrastructural disadvantage which increased its production cost by about 40%. Both companies (Dunlop and Michelin), before and after 2006, had on several occasions drawn the attention of the government at all levels to these problems. Regrettably, not much response was received from the relevant authorities, and because it could not continue to erode its shareholders funds, Michelin was forced to stop production at its factory by December 2006 while Dunlop followed the same path in December, 2008. They have both since joined the league of those importing tyres into Nigeria. The closure of the two tyre factories in the country have resulted in loss of over 3,000 direct and several thousands of indirect jobs, closure of many smaller feeder cottage industries that serviced the factories, non payment of taxes etc. REVIVING THE TYRE INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA The Nigeria tyre market is generally placed under “strategic industrial sector “in any nation. In Nigeria, during the Civil war 1967-1970, because of the location of Michelin factory in Port Harcourt, it could not function, and as a result virtually all the tyre requirements of the Nigerian Armed forces were supplied completely and exclusively by Dunlop Nigeria Plc. Most of the tyres used by the peace keeping forces in Africa were equally supplied by Dunlop Nigeria. The mass transportation sector in Nigeria is currently facing major challenges. The rail and water mode of transportation are not fully developed and this leaves road mode of movement as the most viable, significantly strategic and most preferred, and by extension, tyre becomes the singular most important component in the road mode of transportation. The national tyre demand annually is very large, enough to accommodate at least five different tyre factories with capacity of 20 million kg or 1m car/van tyres each. Thus, the combined capacity of over 100m kg will just be about enough to optimise the market in Nigeria. This excludes the rest of West Africa which is about another 50% of Nigeria tyre market. These tyre factories have potential of creating over 10,000 direct jobs, and several thousands of indirect job openings. Creation of smaller feeder cottage industries, payment of taxes, better security situation and positive impact on the national economy are all the positive implications of a functional Nigeria tyre market. The natural rubber, carbon black and other petro chemicals available in Nigeria will also be value addition processes. The subsidiary Company of Dunlop, Pamol Nig. Ltd., has 15,000 hectares of land across Cross River, Delta and Edo states and employs not less than 10,000 persons directly and indirectly in its rubber plantation business. Michelin, on the other hand, has bigger rubber plantations in Ogun and Edo states but while Dunlop used its raw rubber in the local production of tyres up to December 2008, Michelin exported its raw rubber out of the Country and then imports their finished tyres back in to the country, since January, 2007. Considering the strategic need for the tyre industry and its attendant benefits, it is imperative to revive the industry without further delay. The new auto policy introduced by the government recently is a positive step in this direction. To make the implementation of the policy more effective, there is need for a monitoring body consisting of SON, Customs and tyre manufacturers’ representatives to regulate tyre importation into the country. The ongoing reforms and efforts in the power sector are commendable and should continue. This will address quite a number of manufacturing challenges facing the tyre industry in the country. DEMAND IN NIGERIA TYRE MARKET The Nigeria tyre market is very strategic for the nation and should be revived. The import-friendly policies that are crafted ostensibly out of not envisaging the full implications on the Nigerian economy should be discouraged. The recent auto policy announced by the Nigerian government is a positive step in this direction. The current situation where tyres that can be manufactured locally are imported will only help to fuel job creation in other countries while unemployment in Nigeria country continues to rise, with all the security implications. The Nigeria tyre market can play a crucial role in job creation too. Recent policy articulations and implementations by our government in respect of power, cement, rice, sugar, etc gives a lot of room for optimism that the new National Automotive Policy would also be faithfully implemented. Specifically, the policy as it affects encouraging local tyre manufacture includes pioneer status which gives 7-year tax holiday, zero duty on imported tyre manufacturing equipment, 5% import duty on raw materials and on tyre imports to augment local production in the first two years, while ramping up capacity. Nigerian government’s more critical understanding of the implications of the ECOWAS/EU Partnership Agreement also signifies a new level of enlightened self interest towards job creation opportunities for its teeming youth population, while ensuring value addition to its abundant major tyre manufacturing raw materials, such as natural rubber and carbon black, both of which make up about 70% volume. Both Nigeria's petrochemical and steel resources also hold strong promise to provide the bulk of the remaining major raw materials for tyre manufacturing, into the future.

Market Reports

Kenya's Automotive Market

Kenya’s GDP per capita is expected to reach US$1,432 by the end of 2015 and to grow at a CAGR of 7.5% between till 2020. This is expected to result in an increase in private consumption and amongst other things, drive the sales of motor vehicles. Expenditure on the purchase of cars, motorcycles and other vehicles accounted for 1.5% of total consumer expenditure in 2015 and is expected to remain relatively stable to 2025 as incomes rise. The volume of imported cars and motorcycles has been on the increase due to the availability of attractive credit from financial institutions and the rise of the middle class. According to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) the volume of imported vehicles between 2003 and 2012 have grown at over 300% from 33,000 units to 110,474 units. Passenger vehicles were Kenya’s fourth largest import overall in 2015, valued at approximately US$440 million and making up 2.4% of total imports (by value) while commercial vehicles ranked seventh, valued at US$380 million. If the current trend of 10% to 12% growth per annum on vehicle imports is to be maintained, Kenya will have five million vehicles on the road by the year 2030. In the early 1980s, Kenya banned the importation of FBUs. At the time, Kenya was assembling approximately 18,000 units locally. Following a World Bank-imposed structural adjustment programme (SAP) in mid-1993, the country removed a large number of trade restrictions and the economy underwent liberalisation, allowing the importation of FBUs. As no age limit was imposed on vehicles imported, second-hand imports, some up to 20 years old, flooded the market. To date, Kenya is still highly dependent on imports to meet domestic demand, with imports making up 94% of bilateral automotive trade and second-hand vehicles accounting for over 80% of those imports. Both passenger and commercial vehicles feature in Kenya’s top ten imports by value. As the regional gateway on account of the Port of Mombasa, 99.9% of Kenya’s automotive exports are to other African countries, with Uganda and Tanzania being the biggest markets. Africa Automotive Directory The African Automotive Directory compiled by Africa Business Pages has emerged as a helpful resource for those looking for buyers of automotive spare parts in Africa. The Africa Automotive Directory lists all major auto parts importers in 49 African countries and is available for immediate download in Excel format. This special directory is updated every six months is available for sale at the Africa Business Pages B2B portal at a nominal cost of US$350. The Africa Automotive Directory has helped many exporters, manufacturers and dealers of automotive spare parts connect with their business counterparts in the African markets and develop direct business relations and expand their sales and distribution network in key African markets. Kenya: Booming Market for Automotive Spare Parts Although Kenya used to have large volumes of grey and illegal imports, this has been reduced through a number of government interventions, and as a result the used imported market is now more regulated. The Kenya Revenue Authority and the Kenya Bureau of Standards are situated at entry ports such as the Port of Mombasa and Jomo Kenyatta International Airport to monitor and record the arrival of vehicles. Vehicles entering through these ports that are destined for countries other than Kenya, such as Uganda, have to receive their clearance and payment confirmation of registration fees from the destination country before they are able to leave the port of entry. Vehicles Numbers It is estimated that approximately 80% of Kenya’s total vehicle fleet are second-hand vehicles, with a total vehicle fleet of around 1.4 million units in 2015. In 2014, the average age of vehicles on Kenya’s roads was 15 years, which has resulted in high levels of pollution, frequent break-downs of vehicles, and a large non-genuine spare parts industry developing. The total number of vehicles in use grew at a CAGR of 7.7% between 2005 and 2015. Figures for Kenya’s motorisation rate differ depending on the source, and range between 26 and 28 vehicles per 1,000 persons. This is forecast to increase to 31.5 in 2019, reflecting vehicle ownership growing faster than Kenya’s population. Vehicle Sales According to the KNBS, a total of 112,536 vehicles were registered in 2015 – this included newly registered and re-registered vehicles. KNBS does not differentiate between the registration of new vehicles and the re-registration of used vehicles, whereas the Kenya Motor Industry (KMI) only records new vehicles sold. KMI states that 19,523 new vehicles were sold in Kenya in 2015, reflecting the dominance of used vehicles in the retail market. In 2015 light and heavy commercial vehicles combined accounted for 86% of total vehicle sales, highlighting the importance of larger vehicles, such as light commercial vehicles, minibuses, heavy trucks, and buses. Sedans and SUVs made up 14%. Heavy commercial vehicles too saw the highest growth, with a CAGR of 17.5% between 2005 and 2015 and thus were key drivers underpinning new vehicle sales growth over that period. Sales of new vehicles in Kenya are driven by the demand for transportation in the construction, mining, agri-business, tourism, energy and retail sectors. The government and in particular its law enforcement and security authorities are significant buyers of new vehicles. The most popular second-hand vehicles cost between Ksh350,000 and Ksh500,000. In light of current growth drivers, business fleet purchases make up a significant proportion of total vehicle sales. It is expected that firms investing in Kenya’s economy will drive stronger demand for business fleet purchases, particularly given the number of major infrastructure investments in the country in recent years, notably the Lamu Port-South Sudan-Ethiopia-Transport (LAPSSET) Corridor Project. The Kenya Local Government Sector Reform Strategy has given greater budgetary autonomy to local governments (Counties), resulting in County governments expanding their vehicle fleets and further driving local demand. Production and Assembly Kenya’s automotive market is largely focused on retail and distribution of vehicles, and after-sales support in servicing and spare parts sales. Small scale assembly of motor vehicles is done at three assembly plants, the General Motors East Africa (GMEA) plant in Nairobi, the Associated Vehicle Assemblers (AVA) plant in Mombasa and the Kenya Vehicle Manufacturers (KVM) plant in Thika. All three of the plants are operating below their capacity. However, the country’s good infrastructure, relative to other countries in the region, as well as its physical and strong economic position within the East Africa Community (EAC), make it a potential hub for automotive assembly and production in the region. Recently, counties have been lobbying with investors to set up manufacturing hubs in their regions to provide employment and promote trade within their jurisdictions. In February 2016, Machakos County signed a deal with Ashok Leyland to set up an assembly plant in the county recently. Locally produced vehicles are assembled from CKD kits with minimal locally produced inputs. KMI defines CKDs as a package of most or all of the individual parts of a vehicle, as separate pieces. All of the pieces are brand new from their country of origin. As Kenya does not locally assemble sedans (except occasionally on an ad hoc basis), commercial vehicles dominate Kenya’s domestic production – a similar focus employed in the early stages of Thailand’s automotive sector. In 2015, Kenya assembled 9,295 vehicles, of which 921 (close to 10% of assembly) were light commercial vehicles (LCVs) such as pick-up trucks, and the rest of the 9,295 were heavy commercial vehicles (HCVs) such as trucks and buses. The assembly of motor vehicles in Kenya grew by almost 32% from 2013 to 2015. High growth of 54.4%, 43.7% and 20.8% was registered in the production of pick-ups, trucks and buses respectively. Kenya’s vehicle assembly figures are forecasted to almost double between 2013 and 2019. Policy Environment The Kenyan government has identified the automotive and auto parts industry as a major economic driver in the Kenya National Industrialisation Policy Framework released in 2010. In order to build up its automotive industry, the framework identified five policy statements: 1. The development of a 40 hectare automotive industrial park in Machakos by 2012; 2. Providing incentives to encourage locally assembled vehicles and the production of autos parts in order to gradually replace imported second-hand vehicles with locally assembled vehicles; 3. The establishment of a National Automotive Industry committee which would be tasked with developing the automotive value chain and co-ordinating the industry; 4. Impose high tariffs on automotive parts that could rather be produced locally to encourage the growth of a local industry; and 5. Set up a joint venture with an established automotive manufacturer by 2016 with the goal of domesticating the company within ten years. While to date, most of the goals are yet to be realised, the government has devised a number of policies such as a 30% local input requirement for locally assembled vehicles (although this had not been implemented at the time of writing). The Kenyan government has also committed to supporting entrepreneurs in the automotive components industry, developing the auto components supply chain, placing high tariffs on imported automotive components that could be manufactured locally and the formation of a national automotive industry board. All vehicles imported for use in Kenya attract an IDF (Import Declaration Fee of 2.25% of CIF) and RDL (Railway Development Levy of 1.5% of CIF) tax and are depreciated based on the year of manufacture and registration. Vehicles imported as CKDs attract 0% import duty but can only be imported by a licensed manufacturer. CKD kits are assembled in a KRA Bonded Warehouse facility and are only then required to pay IDF fees. However, as soon as these are removed from the bonded facility and are used in Kenya, they are subject to value added tax (VAT), excise duty and the RDL. Vehicles assembled in Kenya for export are not subject to domestic taxes. In July 2015 the Ministry of Industrialisation proposed policy measures in the Policy Framework for Motor Vehicle Assembly in Kenya to complement the National Industrialisation Policy Framework. The policy aims to promote new investments in the country’s automotive industry and for Kenya to become a globally competitive vehicle manufacturer. The 2015 framework aims to impose a tax of 2% on all imported FBU units, the creation of an Automotive Innovation Fund (AIF) to support research and development in the sector and the inclusion of the sector in special economic zones (SEZs), with the SEZ Bill passed at the end of 2015. Local assemblers and eventually producers located in SEZs will be afforded benefits including ten year tax holidays, low utility rates, and export credits. The new framework, similar to the National Industrialisation Policy Framework, aims to create a National Automotive Council (NAC) which will be equipped to address aspects relating to the assembly and manufacture of vehicles, including capacity building and the proposal and implementation of incentives. The 2015 Policy Framework for Motor Vehicle Assembly in Kenya differs from the 2010 National Industrialisation Policy Framework in that engagement with the private sector has been more consistent. Rather than focusing on industrialisation as a whole and manufacturing more broadly, the new framework is centred on the automotive industry with a structure to drive local production. Stakeholders in Kenya’s automotive industry were engaged with to a greater degree than before and as a result the 2015 framework is seen as an improvement on the previous framework and a step in the right direction. In contrast to other EAC markets, vehicles older than eight years are not permitted for import into Kenya. Although, there is anecdotal evidence of cases of importers forging import documentation of older vehicles, this law is largely abided by and the industry believes that government implements it effectively. All imported vehicles undergo a roadworthiness inspection and the Ministry of Industrialisation is in the process of lowering the legal age limit of second-hand vehicles imported into the country to five years. This should reduce the number of imported used vehicles, as newer second-hand cars will be more expensive. Within the EAC, products substantially transformed (i.e. from CKD to full assembly) in any of the member states (Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda) should be sold on a duty-free basis in the other member states. In 2009 EAC member states ratified a Common External Tariff (CET) of 25% on vehicles imported into the region, hoping to drive local assembly. However, the other EAC countries have requested that the implementation of the CET be put on hold and continue to impose duties on vehicles assembled in Kenya, which currently is the only country in the EAC with the capacity to assemble vehicles. Tanzania and Uganda’s arguement is that vehicles assembled in Kenya do not abide by Tanzania and Uganda’s local content requirement of 35% and therefore do not qualify for duty-free access to these markets. Vehicles assembled in Kenya are therefore imported into these markets with a CET of 25%. This has resulted in imported vehicles having an advantage over vehicles assembled regionally, as cars arriving from Japan in Uganda and Tanzania are cheaper than vehicles assembled in Kenya. However, the Kenyan government is engaged in talks with other EAC states and it is likely that the issue will be resolved in the short term. Beyond the domestic policy focus on the automotive sector, Kenya was also identified by the EAC as a potential vehicle production hub for the region in its draft East African Industrialisation Strategy 2010-2030 released in 2010. The draft argued for encouraging major carmakers that already imported vehicles into the region to rather produce locally. However, this was left out of the final EAC Industrialisation Strategy 2012-2032, where the assembly of cars, buses and tractors and vehicle spares was identified as having the least growth potential in the region of 20 industries considered. Industry stakeholders interviewed however recognised the opportunity of both the regional parts value chain as well as the EAC as an export market for Kenyan produced vehicles and parts. One of the greatest inhibitors to the advancement of Kenya’s automotive sector is the proliferation of second-hand vehicles available in the market. Decreasing the age of cars allowed for import while simultaneously decreasing the affordability of these cars by increasing the taxes levied on them should drive sales of more affordable, newer, roadworthy, and locally-assembled cars. Incentives to assemble locally, such as tax breaks or waiving of import duties for parts, will make it more affordable to assemble vehicles in Kenya in the short to medium term and could encourage production in the long term. Also, definitions of local content need to be developed and aligned to the other EAC members’ automotive and manufacturing policies. These need to be accepted regionally, especially within the EAC, for Kenya to pursue an East African automotive manufacturing hub and export strategy. The development and promotion of auxiliary industries in partnership with the vehicle assemblers will enable automotive companies to source high-quality inputs locally, further strengthening the case for local assembly. The Kenyan government is particularly aware of the need to improve the country’s infrastructure, with programmes in place to increase electricity accessibility and either refurbish or build new transport infrastructure. Despite new investments in the country, Kenya’s automotive sector is relatively stagnant and runs the risk of being side-lined in the long term by other regional players such as Ethiopia, which has a more progressive approach to industrialisation.

Market Reports

Nord: The Made-in-Nigeria Automotive Marque

The Nigerian auto industry is set to witness a boost with the entry of a fully Nigerian auto company, the Nord brand of automobiles cutting across passenger and commercial vehicles. The five Nord models assembled in Lagos and unveiled are the Nord sedan A3; the Nord SUV A5; Nord Flit mini bus; Nord Max pick up; and Nord Tank pickup. Nord Automobiles is a Nigerian automotive manufacturer with headquarters in Lagos, Nigeria that aims to produce an indigenous made-in-Nigeria automobile brand. The company’s operations focus on delivering quality expertise in the value chain – which includes the design, sourcing, development, assembling, distribution, marketing, provision of sales and after-sales service of its unique Nigerian branded automobiles. Nord fleet of Nigerian branded vehicles include the Nord Max, Flit bus, Aso truck, Lasgi big bus, Q3 sedan, Q5 SUV, Nord Yarn, Ben SUV and the Urban sedan. Nord Automobiles aims to: Design and alignment of vehicles in Nigeria and Sub-Saharan Africa to fit the local climate. Offer affordable and durable vehicles. Offer easy access to best-in-class after-sales quality service. Build a reliable and credible Nigerian auto brand According to Oluwatobi Ajayi, Chief Executive Officer of Nord Automobiles, the company aims to stop the importation of substandard vehicles into Nigeria, and to drastically reduce the huge amounts spent annually on automobile imports from overseas markets. He stated that the fast-evolving Nigerian market has shown a strong demand for vehicles that are stylish, comfortable and have premium features, hence, Nord models have come to meet the demand. With the launch of these vehicles, he added, “we aim to exceed expectations by offering our customers world standard products at very competitive prices.” “The Nord vehicles are designed for the discerning customer, who craves daily satisfaction and full automobile experience. They are a perfect combination of style, performance and fuel efficiency,” he said. Made in Nigeria The Nord assembly plant is located on a 2,100 square meters of land space in Sangotedo in Lagos, while and another one recently acquired and occupying 3,400 square meters of land at Epe is currently undergoing construction for the assembly complex in readiness to meet the growing automotive market and increasing customer demand. Nord Automobiles is collaborating with some of the biggest automotive firms in Europe and Asia, which offers the company an edge in its pursuit to deliver durable, safe, reliable and affordable vehicles for Nigerians and give buyers of the brand good value for money. Stylish Designing Exterior Design – The exterior design of any Nord vehicle replicates class and luxury with a striking presence and bold looks to make sure that your car stands out anywhere you are. The popular Nord Tank has a led daylight running light and a four-wheel drive, the exteriors are powerful and elegant. Interior Design – The interior design is rich and sophisticated and includes several features including a one-button drive function, Eco-drive system, touch screen infotainment, blue tooth, audio streaming, HDMI-in-slots, USB-in-slots. The interior is made with premium upholstery. Safety Features – Nord vehicles are equipped with Antilock Braking System, Electronic Brake Distribution, dual front airbags, and with the highest safety rating by Euro NCAP and C-NCAP. Colour Variants – Nord vehicles have over 6 different colours variant to customize your car with, with options on the website to customize your vehicle giving it a personalised feel. Safety Service and Warranty – Delivery of the models would begin immediately, from dealers. The Nord vehicles would offer complete peace of mind with 1 FREE scheduled maintenance at 3 months or 5000km. Customers can opt for an extended after-sales plan for total peace of mind.

Market Reports

Nigeria's Automotive Market

With a population of close to 180 million and a GDP of US$493 billion in 2015, Nigeria is the most populous country with the largest economy in Africa. Despite the current economic challenges facing the country due to low oil prices and a weakened currency, Nigeria still reveals robust economic growth of 2-4% in the medium term. Owing to the lack of domestic vehicle production, Nigeria is highly dependent on imports to meet its domestic demand. In 2014, passenger vehicles constituted the second-largest import category after petroleum oils or bituminous minerals. Overall automotive related imports stood at US$6.9 billion (passenger vehicle imports: US$2.9 billion) accounting for approximately 11.5% of Nigeria’s total imports. While auto imports recorded rapid growth between 2004 and 2014, the current slowdown in the economy and the recent introduction of high import duties on vehicles linked to the new automotive policy has led to approximately a two-third contraction in vehicle imports according to industry players. Second-hand vehicles dominate the import market. It is estimated that approximately 10% of vehicles imported to Nigeria are brand new. A large share of second-hand vehicles are imported from the US, given that vehicle specifications in this market are more in line with the demand and taste of Nigerian consumers, which is not always met by entry-level models from Europe. Before the hike of import duties on second-hand vehicles, Nigeria imported more than 100,000 cars per year from the the US. In 2015, imports from the US had plummeted to less than 40,000 units. In addition to direct shipments to Nigeria, the Port of Cotonou in neighbouring Benin is a key transit point for second-hand vehicles destined for the Nigerian market. It is estimated that 85% of Benin’s used vehicle imports end up in Nigeria. In 2013, the European Union (EU) and the US exported approximately 300,000 cars to Benin. Based on the import figures for Benin, an additional 255,000 used cars from the EU and the US entered Nigeria via Benin. There is no culture of maintenance in Nigeria – people drive their cars until they break down and then fix them. Vehicle Numbers Depending on the source of data, the current vehicle fleet in the country ranges from 1.3 million vehicles to 10 million vehicles. According to the Federal Road Safety Corps the total fleet size was 1.65 million units in 2015, of which approximately one third are concentrated in Lagos State. Even applying the least conservative estimate of vehicles in use, namely 10 million vehicles, Nigeria’s motorisation rate is approximately one-third that of the global motorisation rate with less than 60 vehicles per 1 000 people. Due to the New Automotive Industry Development Plan (NAIDP) launched in 2014 that increased the prices for imported vehicles, and the economic slowdown triggered by low oil prices, Nigeria’s growth in fleet size slowed down remarkably in 2015. However, it is expected that in the short term fleet growth will stabilise in a range between 4.5% and 5.5% per annum. Vehicle Sales Despite being the most populous country in Africa, Nigeria’s new vehicle sales lag behind less populated countries such as Algeria, Egypt, Morocco and South Africa. According to industry players, the overall new and second-hand market combined ranges between 500,000 and 1 million units per year. Smuggling, grey imports of second-hand vehicles and the lack of reliable data however, make the exact size of Nigeria’s vehicle market and fleet size difficult to quantify. Challenges concerning the licencing and identification of vehicles further contribute to this difficulty. Imported second-hand vehicles, so-called tokunbos, dominate the Nigerian vehicle market as only a small segment of society is able to afford new vehicles. A representative of a leading automotive firm estimates that a mere 2% of the population is able to afford new vehicles given the current economic and financing environment. While commercial banks offer vehicle finance, accessing these credit facilities has become increasingly unattractive to individual consumers as credit facilities are provided at interest rates above 20% per annum and require at least a 10% down-payment. Commercial banks usually require repayment of vehicle loans within four years, due to the rapid depreciation of the value of vehicles given poor road conditions. According to one of the most established vehicle finance providers, the monthly repayment amount should not exceed 35% of the monthly income of the borrower. The short repayment-period as well as the high interest rates present a key challenge for low- and middle-income households when it comes to accessing vehicle finance. Due to the limited accessibility to and expensive financing of vehicles, new vehicles remain out of reach for most Nigerians and the largest share of current vehicle demand comes from the business community. Corporate buyers account for approximately 70% of overall new vehicle purchases, indicating the suppressed demand from private buyers, arguably the market segment with the largest growth potential. Through recently introduced promotional offers by banks in partnership with selected vehicle dealers, customers are able to access finance at a discounted rate for a limited number of vehicles and models. Indeed, the provision of alternative financing products, especially in-house financing by the automotive companies, is seen by industry players as a key requirement for the growth of the local market. However, in the absence of affordable finance solutions, secondhand vehicles remain the more attractive option for private vehicle buyers. According to a representative of a leading automotive company, second-hand passenger vehicles accounted for 80% of sales in 2014. The share of tokunbos in the commercial vehicle market is even larger, reaching up to 90% of the market according to a leading commercial vehicle manufacturer. New vehicle sales are dominated by Toyota which accounts for almost one third of new sales. Hyundai and Kia have established themselves as increasingly serious competitors to Toyota due to their competitive pricing and improved image in terms of quality. In 2015, the three Asian brands accounted for half of new vehicle sales in the country. The economic slowdown, the depreciation of the naira and the increase in vehicle prices due to the import duty hike had a substantial impact on new vehicles sales in 2015. Although vehicle sales saw positive growth post the global financial crisis, total new vehicle sales dropped by more than half in 2015, compared to 2014. The sharp decline of sales highlights the absence of sizeable and competitive domestic assembly that could provide an affordable alternative to imports and the dependency on vehicle imports to meet domestic demand. Production and Assembly Nigeria is no stranger to automotive assembly and manufacturing. Already in the 1970s Nigeria started assembling motor vehicles. In the 1970s and 1980s, the federal government of Nigeria partnered with six international automotive and commercial vehicle manufacturers to produce passenger and commercial vehicles locally from CKD kits. According to the National Automotive Council (NAC) these six companies had an initial installed capacity of 149,000 units per annum during the 1970s and 1980s. “Sometimes, cars are imported to be stripped for parts as availability of genuine parts is limited.” In addition to these plants, the Federal Government entered into five more agreements with international automotive companies to establish assembly plants in 1982, according to the National Automotive Design and Development Council Nigeria. These agreements included the establishment of plants by Isuzu in Maiduguri, Mazda in Umuahia, Mitsubishi in Ilorin, Nissan in Minna and Peugeot in Gusau. However, these plans did not materialise. Furthermore, due to inconsistent policy implementation, corruption, declining patronage by local and federal government departments and lack of reliable power supply, the output and capacity utilisation of the six existing plants declined rapidly. Symptomatic of the demise of Nigeria’s automotive industry was the stop of production activities by Peugeot Automobile Nigeria (PAN), Nigeria’s largest manufacturer, in 2010. Since then assembly plants have been lying dormant. By 2012, all of the country’s automotive manufacturers had been privatised as the government exited the existing partnerships, eroding any incentives for government departments to purchase locally assembled vehicles The launch of Nigeria’s NAIDP in 2014 and the subsequent hike in import tariffs for vehicles has attracted the interest of leading international carmakers and has led to the resumption of small scale vehicle assembly in the country. While the high import tariffs are aimed at encouraging local assembly, the sharp drop in vehicle sales in Nigeria in 2015 is a strong indication that this measure had an adverse impact on overall vehicle prices in the absence of a sufficient assembly base that could provide substitutes for imported vehicles. In 2015, local assembly was only able to cover 10-15% of the new vehicle market. According to a senior representative of one of the automotive companies present in Nigeria, approximately 1,000 passenger vehicles were assembled in Nigeria in 2015 – an even more conservative estimate. Currently, 35 companies are licensed to produce by the Nigerian Automotive Council under the NAIDP. Despite the increased focus on the automotive industry, the sector’s contribution to Nigeria’s GDP remains low at 0.07%. At present the vehicles are assembled from imported SKD kits with a limited degree of local inputs-sourcing due to the lack of a reliable and adequate domestic supplier base. While current assembly figures are low, with Peugeot Automobile Nigeria recording the largest number of vehicles assembled in 2015 with 400 units, the automotive companies aim at increasing their annual output in order to capitalise on the long-term growth prospects of the Nigerian market. However, due to the current economic slowdown, expansion plans are likely to be delayed as reflected in the decline of employment levels in some of the assembly facilities. Africa Automotive Directory The African Automotive Directory compiled by Africa Business Pages has emerged as a helpful resource for those looking for buyers of automotive spare parts in Africa. The Africa Automotive Directory lists all major auto parts importers in 49 African countries and is available for immediate download in Excel format. This special directory is updated every six months is available for sale at the Africa Business Pages B2B portal at a nominal cost of US$350. The Africa Automotive Directory has helped many exporters, manufacturers and dealers of automotive spare parts connect with their business counterparts in the African markets and develop direct business relations and expand their sales and distribution network in key African markets.

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